Match Info

NBA

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Netherlands	ESPN 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Milwaukee Bucks		Golden State Warriors

	1	2
	3.5	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.35
	3.06	1.35	Watch
			Watch
	3.81	1.32
	2.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.02)	1.41 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 229.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milwaukee Bucks
30.6%

Golden State Warriors
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milwaukee Bucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milwaukee Bucks's form might have worsened.

Golden State Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Golden State Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milwaukee Bucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Golden State Warriors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	0%	37.1%

Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Milwaukee will win (votes: 21 - 63.6%). Golden State will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milwaukee: 47.2% – 80%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Golden State (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Milwaukee (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 223, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5, OT - Golden State (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 13 - 65%). Golden State (votes: 7 - 35%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:120

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Green A.	1. Kuminga J.
18. Kuzma K.	23. Green D.
3. Turner M.	21. Post Q.
5. Trent G.	10. Butler J.
13. Rollins R.	30. Curry S.
Coaches
. Rivers D.	. Kerr S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 1.

In recent matches, Milwaukee has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Golden State is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Milwaukee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Golden State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Golden State: Toohey A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Milwaukee: Anthony C. (Illness) Kuzma K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2217:2239. (average 110.9:112).

Including home matches between the teams, Milwaukee won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1137:1092. (average 113.7:109.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Milwaukee Bucks - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.55%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Golden State Warriors - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.45%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milwaukee Bucks
NBA
28.10.25	Milwaukee Bucks - New York Knicks	121:111 ✺
26.10.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Milwaukee Bucks	118:113 ✺
24.10.25	Toronto Raptors - Milwaukee Bucks	116:122 ✺
22.10.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Washington Wizards	133:120 ✺
14.10.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	112:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- Golden State Warriors
NBA
28.10.25	Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Clippers	98:79 ✺
27.10.25	Golden State Warriors - Memphis Grizzlies	131:118 ✺
24.10.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Golden State Warriors	139:119 ✺
23.10.25	Golden State Warriors - Denver Nuggets	137:131 OT ✺
21.10.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors	109:119 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
18.03.25	Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks	104:93
10.02.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors	111:125
06.03.24	Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks	125:90
13.01.24	Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors	129:118
11.03.23	Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks	125:116 OT
13.12.22	Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors	128:111
12.03.22	Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks	117:99

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