Match Info
LMBDate: 4 June 2026, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Francisco Villa (Durango)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, LMB.TV |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Caliente de Durango |
|
Dorados de Chihuahua |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.56 |
|
2.35 |
|
 |
1.53 |
|
2.35 |
|
 |
1.52 |
|
2.35 |
|
 |
1.52 |
|
2.53 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
|
2.38 |
|
 |
1.51 |
|
2.42 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.56) |
|
2.4 ↑
(2.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 12.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caliente de Durango
61.1% | Dorados de Chihuahua
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caliente de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Dorados de Chihuahua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados de Chihuahua than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
2.  Villar J.
| 8.  Contreras M.
|
10. Florial E.
| 20.  Pina L.
|
50. Hernandez E.
| 17.  Yepez J.
|
17.  Rodriguez R.
| 29. Munoz C.
|
25. Mejia A.
| 25. Lipcius A.
|
18. Mercado O.
| 14. Bonaci B.
|
44. Leon J.
| 11.  Connell J.
|
16. Marquez V.
| 73. Vizcarra G.
|
32. Valera L.
| 1. Lugo A.
|
| Pitchers |
|---|
12. Turnbull S.
| 97. Vargas E.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Robles O.
| . Rojas H.
|
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 2.Caliente de Durango is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Dorados has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Caliente de Durango has had a series of home games. Caliente de Durango could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 144:121. (average 7.2:6.1).Including home matches between the teams, Caliente de Durango won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 96:54. (average 8.7:4.9).
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Last Results with these Odds
Dorados de Chihuahua - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| LMB | | | 03.06.26 | Caliente de Durango - Dorados de Chihuahua | 2:3 | | 02.06.26 | Caliente de Durango - Dorados de Chihuahua | 6:4 | | 21.05.26 | Dorados de Chihuahua - Caliente de Durango | 5:9 | | 20.05.26 | Dorados de Chihuahua - Caliente de Durango | 4:1 | | 19.05.26 | Dorados de Chihuahua - Caliente de Durango | 4:1 | | 19.04.26 | Caliente de Durango - Dorados de Chihuahua | 6:2 | | 18.04.26 | Caliente de Durango - Dorados de Chihuahua | 9:3 |
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