Match Info
NPBDate: 4 June 2026, ThursdayLocation: MAZDA Zoom-Zoom Stadium (Hiroshima)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | SKY PerfecTV! |
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp |
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
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1.67 |
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2.1 |
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1.7 |
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2.33 |
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1.67 |
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 Watch |
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2.1 |
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1.67 |
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2.27 |
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1.68 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(2.01) |
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1.68 ↓
(1.88) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
43.5% | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroshima Toyo Carp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hokkaido (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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92.  Nabara N.
| 43. Mizuno T.
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33. Kikuchi R.
| 5. Nomura Y.
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5. Kozono K.
| 99.  Reyes F.
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31. Sakakura S.
| 3. Gunji Y.
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61. Fabian S.
| 66. Mannami C.
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57. Mochimaru T.
| 6. Castro C.
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51. Hirakawa R.
| 58. Narama T.
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4. Yano M.
| 98. Umebayashi Y.
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| Pitchers |
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16. Mori S.
| 31. Shibata R.
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| Coaches |
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. Arai T.
| . Shinjo T.
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 4)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3.Neither of the teams is performing well right now. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 70:47. (average 3.5:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.6:1.7).
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Outrights of NPB for now
Nippon Ham Fighters: 14.24% Hiroshima Carp: 2.29%
Last Results with these Odds
Hiroshima Toyo Carp - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 48.33%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 51.67%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NPB | | | 03.06.26 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 3:1 | | 21.02.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 1:7 | | 15.06.25 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 8:7 | | 14.06.25 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 5:0 | | 13.06.25 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 2:6 | | 06.06.24 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 3:1 | | 05.06.24 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 6:0 |
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✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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