Match Info
MLBDate: 11 May 2025, SundayLocation: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Houston Astros |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
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2.25 |
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 |
1.68 |
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2.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.68 |
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2.35 |
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 |
1.64 |
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2.2 |
Watch |
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1.67 |
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2.3 |
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 |
1.63 |
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2.37 |
Watch |
 |
1.68 |
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2.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.67) |
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2.28 ↑
(2.27) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Astros
57.8% | Cincinnati Reds
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Houston Astros aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for Cincinnati Reds aligns with the current prediction.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Houston Astros will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Astros will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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3.  Pena J.
| 29.  Friedl T.
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15.  Paredes I.
| 9. McLain M.
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8. Walker C.
| 44. De la Cruz E.
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21. Diaz Y.
| 12. Hays A.
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17.  Caratini V.
| 2. Lux G.
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9. Dezenzo Z.
| 7. Steer S.
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6. Meyers J.
| 35. Trevino J.
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1. Rodgers B.
| 30. Benson W.
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11. Smith C.
| 4. Espinal S.
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| Pitchers |
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56. Blanco R.
| 83. Petty C.
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| Coaches |
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. Espada J.
| . Francona T.
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Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games. Houston might have a minor edge in this game.There will not play in Houston: Alvarez Y.
(Hand Injury)
Arrighetti S.
(Finger Injury)
France J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Garcia L.
(Elbow Injury)
Javier C.
(Forearm injury)
Leon P.
(Knee Injury)
Wesneski H.
(Elbow Injury)
Whitley F.
(Knee Injury)There will not play in Cincinnati: Aguiar J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Antone T.
(Elbow Injury)
Callihan T.
(Forearm injury)
Candelario J.
(Back Injury)
Encarnacion-Strand C.
(Back Injury)
Gibaut I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Greene H.
(Groin Injury)
Lewis T.
(Injury)
Lowder R.
(Forearm injury)
Marte N.
(Abdominal strain)
Miley W.
(Elbow Injury)
Spiers C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Staumont J.
(Injury)
Williamson B.
(Elbow Injury)
Young A.
(Elbow Injury)There are questionable in Houston: Dubin S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Trammell T.
(Calf Injury)There are questionable in Cincinnati: Moll S.
(Shoulder Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 68:101. (average 3.4:5.1).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:64. (average 3.8:5.8).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 10.05.25 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 9:13 | | 09.05.25 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 3:0 | | 05.09.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 1:0 | | 04.09.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 12:5 | | 02.09.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 5:3 | | 18.06.23 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 7:9 | | 17.06.23 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 3:10 |
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