Match Info
USA: AHLDate: 1 February 2025, SaturdayLocation: Mechanics Bank Arena (Bakersfield, CA)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Bakersfield Condors |
|
Toronto Marlies |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
4.2 |
2.3 |
|
 |
2.45 |
4.15 |
2.31 |
|
 |
2.5 |
4.18 |
2.36 |
|
 |
2.44 |
4.29 |
2.29 |
Watch |
 |
2.38 |
4.33 |
2.25 |
|
 |
2.46 |
4.32 |
2.26 |
Watch |
 |
2.45 |
4.15 |
2.31 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.44) |
4.23 ↑
(4.2) |
2.29 ↓
(2.31) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bakersfield Condors
37.8% | Draw
21.8% | Toronto Marlies
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
33.  Rodrigue O. (G)
| 35.  Hildeby D. (G)
|
47.  Attard R.
| 26. Abruzzese N.
|
18. Berglund C.
| 14. Barbolini M.
|
44. Brown J.
| 55. Benning M.
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9. Caggiula D. (A)
| 10. Blandisi J. (A)
|
58. Carrick C.
| 33.  Hirvonen R.
|
8. Corcoran C.
| 84. Kokkonen M.
|
19. D'Amato D.
| 94. Mastrosimone R.
|
13. de Jong E.
| 36. Mermis D.
|
4. Dineen C.
| 47. Niemela T.
|
39. Griffith S. (C)
| 92. Nylander A.
|
12. Grubbe J.
| 56. Pare C.
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11. Hamblin J. (A)
| 61. Quillan J.
|
25. Kemp P.
| 83. Rifai M.
|
24. Perreault J.
| 11. Shaw L. (C)
|
10. Ryan D.
| 73. Solow Z.
|
21. Savoie M.
| 46. Steeves A.
|
42. Swetlikoff A.
| 77. Tverberg R.
|
14. Wright C.
| 52. Webber C.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
60. Delia C. (G)
| 70.  Akhtyamov A. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 04:40, 1 - 0, Ryan D. (G), Wright C. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
- 13:18, 2 - 0, Griffith S. (G), Wright C. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 06:46, 2 - 1, Pare C. (G), Quillan J. (A), Benning M. (A2)
- 07:18, 2 - 2, Steeves A. (G), Abruzzese N. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Steeves A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Perreault J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Savoie M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Nylander A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 3). Recent matches Bakersfield is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Toronto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Toronto have a series of guest games. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bakersfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:11 (average 3:3.7). Including matches at home between the teams Bakersfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
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Last Results with these Odds
Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 22.01.25 | Bakersfield Condors - Toronto Marlies | 1:3 | | 15.12.24 | Toronto Marlies - Bakersfield Condors | 2:3 | | 14.12.24 | Toronto Marlies - Bakersfield Condors | 6:5 OT |
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