Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Olimpija Ljubljana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday
  • Location: Demrozi Stadium (Rrogozhinë)
  • Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A
    Egnatia Rrogozhinë Olimpija Ljubljana
    Egnatia Rrogozhinë Olimpija Ljubljana
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (3.16)
    3.21
    (3.32)
    2.98
    (2.2)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Egnatia Rrogozhinë
    35.9%
    Draw
    30.9%
    Olimpija Ljubljana
    33.2%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    29.5% 28.1% 42.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    28.9% 28.7% 43.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.
  • Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpija Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpija Ljubljana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    15% 70% 15%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Egnatia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Olimpija will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.9%90.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    98. AlbaniaDajsinani M. (G)
    22. SpainJaime G.
    28. AlbaniaSota E.
    19. KosovoXhemajli A.
      4. AzerbaijanAliyev Z.
    10. AlbaniaLushkja R.
      6. AlbaniaAleksi A. (C)
      7. BrazilFernando Medeiros
    17. KosovoSelmani K.
      9. IvoryBakayoko S.
    77. AlbaniaGruda I.
    52. SloveniaDajcar M. (G)
    28. PortugalDiga
      4. BulgariaJelenkovic V.
    17. AustriaMuhamedbegovic A.
      3. SloveniaUrbancic J.
    34. ArgentinaDoffo A. (C)
      6. NigeriaAgba P.
    23. PortugalPinto D.
    18. SloveniaBrest M.
    24. EstoniaTamm A.
      9. SloveniaKojic D.
    Substitutes
    27. BrazilJefferson
      1. AlbaniaKuka K. (G)
    11. BrazilLeo Melo
    16. AlbaniaNdreca E.
      5. AlbaniaPoci A.
    88. AlbaniaRuci F.
      8. NigeriaWotlai D.
    18. GhanaYahaya M.
    45. SloveniaAcimovic M.
    27. TogoAnanou F.
    11. SpainBlanco A.
      2. BosniaBristric A.
    19. CroatiaDurdov I.
    36. SloveniaFink G. (G)
    30. SloveniaGorenc J.
    99. CroatiaMarin A.
    20. SerbiaMotika N.
    88. BrazilThalisson
    Coaches
         AlbaniaTetova E.
         Netherlandsvan de Looi E.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 6', 1 - 0, Lushkja R. , Selmani K. (A),
    • 23', Aliyev Z. 🟨,
    • 32', 1 - 1, Jelenkovic V. , Pinto D. (A),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Sota E. , Poci A. ,
    • 60', Brest M. 🟨,
    • 60', Gruda I. , Ndreca E. ,
    • 60', Selmani K. , Yahaya M. ,
    • 63', Tamm A. , Durdov I. ,
    • 72', Brest M. , Marin A. ,
    • 74', Poci A. 🟨,
    • 79', 1 - 2, Marin A. ,
    • 80', Yahaya M. 🟨,
    • 81', Yahaya M. 🟨,
    • 83', Aliyev Z. , Leo Melo ,
    • 86', 2 - 2, Lushkja R. ,
    • 90+8', Aleksi A. 🟨,
    • Extra Time (0 - 2)
    • 98', Pinto D. , Blanco A. ,
    • 99', 2 - 3, Durdov I. , Kojic D. (A),
    • 100', Bakayoko S. , Jefferson ,
    • 104', Urbancic J. 🟨,
    • 105', Jaime G. , Ruci F. ,
    • 107', 2 - 4, Blanco A. ,
    • 111', Kojic D. , Acimovic M. ,
    • 111', Diga , Ananou F. ,

    Preview

  • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
  • Egnatia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • In recent matches, Olimpija has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Olimpija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Olimpija will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Egnatia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
  • banner

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    07.08.25 Olimpija Ljubljana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:0
    31.07.25 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Dinamo Minsk 1:0
    24.07.25 Dinamo Minsk - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:2
    UEFA Champions League
    15.07.25 Breiðablik - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5:0
    08.07.25 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Breiðablik 1:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1
    TWWLW
    - NK Olimpija Ljubljana
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    10.08.25 Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana 1:3
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    07.08.25 Olimpija Ljubljana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:0
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    03.08.25 Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje 0:5
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    29.07.25 Inter Escaldes - Olimpija Ljubljana 1:1
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    26.07.25 Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:3
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8
    WTLTW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    07.08.25 Olimpija Ljubljana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
    UEFA Europa League
    20.08.26 Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Lillestrøm SK
    - NK Olimpija Ljubljana
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    21.08.26 Olimpija Ljubljana - Nafta