Outrights
1. Melbourne City: 1.25 (70.59 %)2. Western United: 3 (29.41 %)
Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | playoffs | semis | final | win league |
| Melbourne City | 1 (100%) | 49 | 49 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% |
| Melbourne Victory | 2 (100%) | 48 | 48 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Western United | 3 (100%) | 45 | 45 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 31% |
| Adelaide United | 4 (100%) | 43 | 43 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Central Coast Mariners | 5 (100%) | 42 | 42 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wellington Phoenix | 6 (100%) | 39 | 39 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Macarthur FC | 7 (100%) | 33 | 33 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sydney | 8 (100%) | 31 | 31 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Newcastle Jets | 9 (100%) | 29 | 29 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 10 (100%) | 27 | 27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Brisbane Roar | 11 (100%) | 26 | 26 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Perth Glory | 12 (100%) | 18 | 18 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
