The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Verva Litvínov 36.4%
Draw 23.6%
HC Plzeň 1929 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
24.2%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
23.7%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verva Litvínov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
HC Plzeň 1929 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verva Litvínov than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (+1%)
Verva Litvínov - HC Plzeň 1929 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
42. Tomek M. (G)
31. Malik N. (G)
27. Czuczman K.
20. Zamorsky P. (A)
44. Schmiemann Q.
29. Percy S.
8. Cajkovic M.
89. Holesinsky A.
91. Sukel M. (C)
49. Simon D.
77. Hlava N.
84. Schleiss J. (C)
Line 2
4. Husinecky V.
13. Merezhko I.
3. Polasek A. (A)
65. Kvasnicka D.
33. Hannikainen M.
63. Petman M.
87. Jicha J.
23. Petman V.
34. Pistek T.
92. Teply M.
Line 3
13. Gajdos F.
47. Lajunen V.
56. Senkerik P.
8. Malak D.
74. Mastalirsky M.
18. Strnad L.
29. Holmstrom A.
42. Filip M.
55. Broz J.
22. Mechura A.
Line 4
7. Plutnar M.
41. Salda R.
12. Zygmunt P.
26. Psenicka O.
64. Jurcik O.
30. Lev J. (A)
10. Koblasa P.
14. Sedlacek I.
Substitutes
32. Kubik A. (G)
17. Rohlik O.
28. Sprynar J.
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
Coaches
. Petr J.
. Jandac J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
06:47, Polasek A. (2 min),
10:45, Malak D. (2 min),
11:15, 0 - 1, Filip M. (G), Schleiss J. (A),
12:13, Mastalirsky M. (2 min),
12:24, 1 - 1, Hannikainen M. (G), Polasek A. (A), Plutnar M. (A2)
13:38, Simon D. (2 min),
13:38, Polasek A. (2 min),
14:44, 1 - 2, Holesinsky A. (G), Lajunen V. (A), Malik N. (A2)
16:07, 1 - 3, Teply M. (G), Merezhko I. (A), Petman V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:24, Petman M. (2 min),
09:41, Holesinsky A. (2 min),
10:59, 1 - 4, Filip M. (G), Schleiss J. (A), Lajunen V. (A2)
17:16, 1 - 5, Teply M. (G), Zamorsky P. (A), Kvasnicka D. (A2)
17:44, Cajkovic M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:01, Tomek M. ↓, Kubik A. ↑,
03:04, (2 min),
03:42, 1 - 6, Filip M. (G), Mechura A. (A), Simon D. (A2)
05:03, Lev J. (2 min),
11:36, 1 - 7, Strnad L. (G), Filip M. (A), Mechura A. (A2)
15:14, 1 - 8, Lev J. (G), Teply M. (A), Salda R. (A2)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Extraliga (Relegation) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litvínov won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Plzeň may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Litvínov: Cajkovic M.
(Health problems)
Gut M.
(Face Injury)
Jicha J.
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Plzeň: Jerabek J.
(Health problems)
Lalancette C.
(Hand Injury)
Siler J.
(Knee Injury)
Soukup M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Litvínov: Jurcik O.
(Illness)
Kase D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kase O.
(Illness)
Polasek A.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Plzeň: Malak D.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Litvínov won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:50. (average 2.9:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Litvínov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 3.4:2).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Plzen
9
3
2
1
3
23:21
14
9
Litvinov
9
3
1
1
4
23:26
12
Last Results with these Odds
Verva Litvínov - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.