Match Info

Extraliga - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: WERK Arena (Trinec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Oceláři Třinec		HC Plzeň 1929

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.3	3.8	Watch
	1.75	4.25	3.70
	1.84	4.05	3.6
	1.79	3.97	3.83
	1.77	4.3	3.75
	1.75	3.85	3.75
	1.78	4.2	3.81	Watch
	1.78	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	4.12 ↓ (4.16)	3.73 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceláři Třinec
52.4%

Draw
22.6%

HC Plzeň 1929
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

22.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

HC Plzeň 1929 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (-1%)

Oceláři Třinec - HC Plzeň 1929 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Kacetl O. (G)	33. Ruzicka J. (G)
55. Adamek M.	2. MacPherson D.
52. Marincin M. (A)	94. Rubins K.
56. Dano M.	17. Rohlik O.
94. Nestrasil A. (A)	12. Lalancette C. (A)
34. Kovarcik O.	11. Katic D.
Line 2
76. Galvas J.	13. Merezhko I.
64. Koch P.	8. Malak D.
43. Kurovsky D.	18. Strnad L.
79. Hudacek L.	42. Filip M. (A)
18. Flynn O.	22. Mechura A.
Line 3
6. Musil D.	27. Robertson C.
24. Pyrochta F.	5. Jerabek J. (C)
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)	63. Petman M.
96. Vozenilek D.	23. Petman V.
9. Kubiesa M.	92. Teply M.
Line 4
66. Aubrecht D.	16. Cech A.
78. Chlan P.	84. Schleiss J.
40. Roman M.	44. Zemlicka R.
19. Hrehorcak P.	49. Simon D.
Substitutes
2. Mazanec M. (G)	31. Malik N. (G)
	14. Sedlacek I.
Coaches
. Zabka B.	. Veber J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:23, 0 - 1, Katic D. (G), MacPherson D. (A), Lalancette C. (A2)
06:09, Zemlicka R. (2 min),
10:19, Mechura A. (2 min),
10:19, Koch P. (2 min),
11:58, Flynn O. (2 min),
18:40, Teply M. (2 min),
19:26, 1 - 1, Nestrasil A. (G), Ruzicka Mart. (A), Galvas J. (A2)
19:59, 1 - 2, MacPherson D. (G), Jerabek J. (A), Lalancette C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
10:15, Cech A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:08, 2 - 2, Nestrasil A. (G),
09:44, 3 - 2, Roman M. (G), Nestrasil A. (A),
11:20, Hrehorcak P. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 3.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Plzeň may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Třinec holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Třinec: Kovarcik M. (Concussion).

Confirmed absences for Plzeň: Soukup M. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Třinec has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:44 (averaging 2.7:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Třinec against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 30:18 goals (averaging 3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Trinec	9	9	0	0	0	45:18	27
5	Plzen	9	3	2	1	3	23:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.03%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.59%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
18.09.26	Oceláři Třinec - Kometa Brno	6:5 ✺
15.09.26	Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	Oceláři Třinec - Vítkovice Steel	6:3 ✺
03.09.26	Kometa Brno - Oceláři Třinec	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTL
- HC Plzeň 1929
Czech Extraliga
18.09.26	Olomouc - HC Plzeň 1929	3:2 OT ✺
16.09.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 penalties ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.09.26	Bordeaux - HC Plzeň 1929	4:10 ✺
11.09.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - HC Plzeň 1929	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
20.01.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Oceláři Třinec	2:1 penalties
19.12.25	Oceláři Třinec - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 OT
26.10.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Oceláři Třinec	1:2 penalties
19.09.25	Oceláři Třinec - HC Plzeň 1929	2:1 OT
23.02.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Oceláři Třinec	1:2 penalties
10.01.25	Oceláři Třinec - HC Plzeň 1929	5:4
24.11.24	HC Plzeň 1929 - Oceláři Třinec	4:3 OT

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