The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mladá Boleslav 42.8%
Draw 23.5%
Verva Litvínov 33.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.3%
23.8%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
25.1%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Verva Litvínov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verva Litvínov than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Mladá Boleslav - Verva Litvínov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
93. Mokry V. (G)
30. Cajan P. (G)
20. Zamorsky P. (A)
21. Balaz O.
21. Vlasak A.
11. Moravcik M.
28. Skalicky P.
25. Kase D.
16. Griger D.
13. Kampf D. (A)
17. Hyka T.
73. Kase O. (A)
Line 2
45. Pavlik F.
72. Jaks J.
97. Bernad D.
27. Czuczman K.
81. Koblizek R.
10. Koblasa P.
89. Morand A.
91. Sukel M. (C)
77. Jandric S.
8. Samal V.
Line 3
5. Kubicek S.
36. Beran V.
71. Moravec D.
3. Polasek A.
47. Buchtele J. (C)
28. Sprynar J.
12. Fort T. (A)
87. Jicha J.
49. Zavora J.
74. Mastalirsky M.
Line 4
33. Skarberg M.
18. Tittl F.
88. Gardon M.
75. Havelka M.
15. Gavars F.
64. Jurcik O.
94. Lichtag J.
20. Urban T.
Substitutes
38. Furch D. (G)
42. Tomek M. (G)
10. Malinek V.
Coaches
. Haken P.
. Reichel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:07, Polasek A. (2 min),
09:59, Balaz O. (2 min),
12:09, Polasek A. (2 min),
19:08, 1 - 0, Koblizek R. (G), Jandric S. (A), Zamorsky P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:39, Koblizek R. (2 min),
16:01, 1 - 1, Samal V. (G), Beran V. (A),
16:49, 2 - 1, Kubicek S. (G), Gardon M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
15:34, (2 min),
18:59, Skalicky P. (2 min),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 9th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
Mladá Boleslav is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Litvínov has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Mladá Boleslav: Janosik A.
(Ribs Injury).
Confirmed absences for Litvínov: Zygmunt P.
(Collarbone injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Mladá Boleslav: Rekonen A.
(Finger Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Litvínov: Gut M.
(Health problems)
Pistek T.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mladá Boleslav has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:53 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mladá Boleslav against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 27:18 goals (averaging 2.7:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Litvinov
15
6
1
1
7
34:39
21
12
Mlada Boleslav
15
4
2
1
8
34:49
17
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Litvinov: 1.55% Mlada Boleslav: 1.04%
Last Results with these Odds
Mladá Boleslav - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.