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Current Win Probability
Colorado Eagles 48.8%
Draw 21.8%
San Diego Gulls 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
21.4%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
23%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
San Diego Gulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Eagles than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Eagles that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Colorado Eagles - San Diego Gulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Miner T. (G)
35. Clara D. (G)
5. Aamodt W.
12. Bailey J.
3. Attard R.
3. Basgall M.
72. Barre-Boulet A.
15. Brouillard N.
2. Behrens S.
25. Burke C.
38. Bradley C.
22. Carpenter R. (C)
54. Brindley G.
28. Caulfield J.
81. DiMarsico M.
29. Colangelo S.
48. Felhaber T.
17. Gaucher N.
45. Gagne A.
6. Luneau T.
13. Hughes T.
37. McKeown R. (A)
82. Ivan I.
26. McQueen R.
4. MacDonald J.
21. Myatovic N.
16. Makar T.
13. Nesterenko N.
21. Megna J. (C)
16. Pastujov S.
67. Middleton K. (A)
18. Phillips M. (A)
57. Nielsen T.
14. Pitre C.
14. Polin J.
7. Solberg S.
9. Tynan T.J. (A)
2. Warren N.
Substitutes
37. Keyser K. (G)
30. Suchanek T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
04:32, 1 - 0, Attard R. (G), Ivan I. (A), Bradley C. (A2)
10:44, 1 - 1, Pastujov S. (G), Warren N. (A), Brouillard N. (A2)
11:51, 2 - 1, Megna J. (G), Felhaber T. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
01:43, 3 - 1, Gagne A. (G), Brindley G. (A),
07:34, 4 - 1, DiMarsico M. (G), Megna J. (A), Brindley G. (A2)
12:10, 5 - 1, Behrens S. (G), Felhaber T. (A), Ivan I. (A2)
17', 6 - 1, (G),
Preview
Colorado Eagles leads series 1-0. Second leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 3.
In recent matches, Colorado has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Diego is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Colorado has had a series of home games.
Colorado might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 78:33. (average 3.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 51:21. (average 4.6:1.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Eagles - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.65%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.
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Miner T. (G) 
Clara D. (G) 
Aamodt W. 
Ivan I. 
Solberg S. 
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