The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bakersfield Condors 39.1%
Draw 22.4%
San Diego Gulls 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
23.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26.2%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
San Diego Gulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Gulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bakersfield Condors - San Diego Gulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Pickard C. (G)
31. Clang C. (G)
44. Brown J. (A)
12. Bailey J.
66. Brown M.
3. Basgall M.
73. Carfagna D.
15. Brouillard N.
64. Clattenburg C.
22. Carpenter R. (C)
19. D'Amato D.
28. Caulfield J.
55. Dineen C.
29. Colangelo S.
39. Griffith S. (C)
17. Gaucher N.
53. Howard I.
41. Kinal R.
23. Hutson Q.
6. Luneau T.
15. Jarventie R.
37. McKeown R. (A)
54. Lafreniere T.
26. McQueen R.
37. Leppanen A.
21. Myatovic N.
57. Marjala V.
11. Mysak J.
56. Nicholl W.
13. Nesterenko N.
43. Petrov M.
16. Pastujov S.
8. Poulin S.
18. Phillips M. (A)
75. Regula A.
19. Sidorov Y.
61. Stillman R. (A)
7. Solberg S.
Substitutes
90. Tomkins M. (G)
35. Clara D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
09:35, 0 - 1, Sidorov Y. (G), Mysak J. (A), McKeown R. (A2)
15:23, 1 - 1, Griffith S. (G), Howard I. (A), Poulin S. (A2)
19:40, 2 - 1, Marjala V. (G), Howard I. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
05:03, 2 - 2, Phillips M. (G), Pastujov S. (A), Luneau T. (A2)
08:51, 2 - 3, Gaucher N. (G), Caulfield J. (A), Myatovic N. (A2)
11:36, 2 - 4, Bailey J. (G), Solberg S. (A),
11:56, 2 - 5, Myatovic N. (G), Basgall M. (A), Caulfield J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:13, 3 - 5, Lafreniere T. (G), Jarventie R. (A), Marjala V. (A2)
18:04, 3 - 6, Luneau T. (G),
20', 3 - 7, (G),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 71:78. (average 3.6:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 2.9:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego Gulls - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Pickard C. (G) 
Clang C. (G) 
Bailey J. 
Jarventie R. 
Mysak J. 
Petrov M. 
Sidorov Y. 
Solberg S. 
Clara D. (G) 
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