The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ontario Reign 47.4%
Draw 22.2%
San Diego Gulls 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
24.1%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
26.3%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
San Diego Gulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ontario Reign that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Slukynsky H. (G)
35. Clara D. (G)
59. Alexandrov N.
3. Basgall M.
24. Booth A. (A)
15. Brouillard N. (A)
91. Brown L.
25. Burke C.
68. Brzustewicz H.
28. Caulfield J.
8. Chromiak M.
36. Elliott D.
17. Connors K.
17. Gaucher N.
37. Doty J. (A)
24. Howe T. (A)
55. Dvorak J.
41. Kinal R.
36. Gorman B.
37. McKeown R. (A)
47. Hughes J.
26. McQueen R.
46. Isogai K.
21. Myatovic N.
86. Jamsen A.
11. Mysak J.
19. Kirsanov K.
23. Pettersson L.
26. Lee A. (A)
14. Pitre C.
74. Novikov N.
19. Sidorov Y.
71. Pinelli F.
38. Smith K.
10. Salin O.
7. Solberg S.
13. Ziemmer K.
40. Traff H.
Substitutes
1. Portillo E. (G)
31. Clang C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
09:26, 0 - 1, Burke C. (G), Solberg S. (A), McKeown R. (A2)
19:27, 1 - 1, Alexandrov N. (G), Connors K. (A), Chromiak M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:11, 2 - 1, Chromiak M. (G), Brown L. (A),
13:43, 3 - 1, Alexandrov N. (G), Connors K. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:57, 4 - 1, Connors K. (G), Brown L. (A), Chromiak M. (A2)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
Ontario is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Diego is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.
Ontario has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
San Diego has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ontario could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:59. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.1:2.8).
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Slukynsky H. (G) 
Clara D. (G) 
Alexandrov N. 
Booth A. (A) 
Chromiak M. 
Dvorak J. 
Gorman B. 
Isogai K. 
Jamsen A. 
Pettersson L. 
Sidorov Y. 
Solberg S. 
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