Match Info
AHLDate: 17 April 2026, FridayLocation: Toyota Arena (Ontario, CA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | Flohockey |
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Ontario Reign |
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San Diego Gulls |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ontario Reign
47.4% | Draw
22.2% | San Diego Gulls
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)San Diego Gulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ontario Reign that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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50.  Slukynsky H. (G)
| 35.  Clara D. (G)
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59.  Alexandrov N.
| 3. Basgall M.
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24.  Booth A. (A)
| 15. Brouillard N. (A)
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91. Brown L.
| 25. Burke C.
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68. Brzustewicz H.
| 28. Caulfield J.
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8.  Chromiak M.
| 36. Elliott D.
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17. Connors K.
| 17. Gaucher N.
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37. Doty J. (A)
| 24. Howe T. (A)
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55.  Dvorak J.
| 41. Kinal R.
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36.  Gorman B.
| 37. McKeown R. (A)
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47. Hughes J.
| 26. McQueen R.
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46.  Isogai K.
| 21. Myatovic N.
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86.  Jamsen A.
| 11. Mysak J.
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19. Kirsanov K.
| 23.  Pettersson L.
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26. Lee A. (A)
| 14. Pitre C.
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74. Novikov N.
| 19.  Sidorov Y.
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71. Pinelli F.
| 38. Smith K.
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10. Salin O.
| 7.  Solberg S.
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13. Ziemmer K.
| 40. Traff H.
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| Substitutes |
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1. Portillo E. (G)
| 31. Clang C. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 09:26, 0 - 1, Burke C. (G), Solberg S. (A), McKeown R. (A2)
- 19:27, 1 - 1, Alexandrov N. (G), Connors K. (A), Chromiak M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:11, 2 - 1, Chromiak M. (G), Brown L. (A),
- 13:43, 3 - 1, Alexandrov N. (G), Connors K. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:57, 4 - 1, Connors K. (G), Brown L. (A), Chromiak M. (A2)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )). Ontario is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs ) San Diego is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.Ontario has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).San Diego has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Ontario could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:59. (average 3:3).Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.1:2.8).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 31.01.26 | San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign | 4:3 | | 08.11.25 | Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls | 4:3 OT | | 07.11.25 | San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign | 6:4 | | 05.10.25 | Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls | 3:2 | | 18.04.25 | Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls | 2:1 | | 08.03.25 | San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign | 5:3 | | 07.03.25 | Ontario Reign - San Diego Gulls | 2:3 OT |
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