What is the expert prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga?

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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, September 02, 2026)

Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.50	3.75	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.40
	2.02	3.35	3.40	Watch
	2.02	3.82	3.69
	1.94	3.7	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.80	3.65
	1.98	3.54	3.79	Watch
	1.98	3.60	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
47.8%

Draw
26.2%

Kyoto Sanga
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Iikura H. (C) 13. Inoue T. 17. Quinones J. 33. Suwama K. 22. Tsunoda R. 14. Chinen K. 41. Matsumura K. 24. Kondo T. 40. Amano J. 47. Miidera S. 9. Tanimura K.	90. Halls (C) 50. Suzuki Y. 40. Ishida Y. 43. Weverton 44. Sato K. 6. Joao Pedro 25. Yoon S. 48. Nakano R. 77. Arai H. 9. Rafael Elias 38. Everton Maceio
Substitutes
11. Croux J. 8. Kida T. 34. Kimura T. 23. Miyaichi R. 43. Nitta R. 1. Park Il-gyu (G) 25. Suzuki T. 32. Tanaka Y. 28. Yamane R.	10. Fukuoka S. 99. Honda F. 26. Kato R. 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S. 15. Nagata K. 1. Ota G. (G) 5. Tawiah H. 60. Yamanaka R.
Coaches
Corica S.	Popovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Quinones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Miidera S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
62', Everton Maceio ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Nakano R. ⚽, Rafael Elias (A),
71', Sato K. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Tanimura K. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Tsunoda R. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
75', Chinen K. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
83', Suwama K. 🟨,
84', Ishida Y. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
84', Nakano R. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
90+6', Rafael Elias ↓, Honda F. ↑,
90+6', Sato K. ↓, Nagata K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.

Kyoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yokohama FM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Kyoto: Sakai K. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

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Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Yokohama F. Marinos: 2.28% Kyoto: 2.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Kyoto Sanga - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:4 ✺
06.06.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Maruyasu Okazaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
09.11.25	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3
17.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	0:3
13.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
17.03.24	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3
03.12.23	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1
07.05.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	4:1
14.09.22	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2

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