Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Group Stage

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	Televisa
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1


	Mexico		Brazil

	1	2
	1.04	13
	1.03	18
	1.03	15.66
			Watch
	1.03	11
	1.03	17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.04)	14.93 ↑ (14.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
93.5%

Brazil
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.4%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Brazil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mexico - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:2

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Lineups

Batters
16. Duran J.	24. Ramirez L.
56. Arozarena R.	6. Carvalho O.
8. Aranda J.	5. Reginatto L.
30. Kirk A.	28. Gomes G.
44. Tellez R.	1. Ito V.
2. Alvarez Jr. N.	15. Rojo L.
13. Gonzales N.	17. Mascai V.
5. Thomas A.	7. Carmo G.
7. Ortiz J.	3. Maciel G.
Pitchers
99. Walker T.	43. Pardinho E.
Coaches
. Gil B.	. Matsumoto Y.

Preview

Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mexico is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico baseball
World Baseball Classic
06.03.26	Great Britain - Mexico	2:8 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - Mexico	3:6 ✺
LMB
30.06.25	LMB All Stars - Mexico	3:4 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
14.11.24	Mexico - USA	2:12 ✺
13.11.24	Netherlands - Mexico	6:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Brazil baseball
World Baseball Classic
07.03.26	Italy - Brazil	8:0 ✺
06.03.26	Brazil - USA	5:15 ✺
06.03.25	Brazil - Germany	6:4 ✺
03.03.25	Germany - Brazil	7:9 ✺
02.03.25	Colombia - Brazil	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Pan American Games Baseball
27.10.23	Brazil - Mexico	1:5

Mexico - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide