English Premier League Table
Team
| Pl | W | D | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Arsenal | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 45:16 | 50 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 53:20 | 45 |
| 3 | Newcastle | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 33:11 | 39 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32:25 | 39 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 40:31 | 36 |
| 6 | Brighton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 37:27 | 31 |
| 7 | Fulham | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:30 | 31 |
| 8 | Brentford | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 32:28 | 30 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 29 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 23:27 | 28 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18:27 | 24 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16:35 | 21 |
| 14 | Leicester | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:35 | 18 |
| 15 | Leeds | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | 18 |
| 16 | West Ham | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 17:25 | 18 |
| 17 | Wolves | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19:42 | 17 |
| 19 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:28 | 15 |
| 20 | Southampton | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 17:35 | 15 |
Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | relegated | qualify for ucl | win league |
| Arsenal | 1 (62.88%) | 87 | 50 | 0% | >99% | 63% |
| Manchester City | 2 (49.03%) | 83 | 45 | <1% | 98% | 34% |
| Manchester United | 3 (31.01%) | 71 | 39 | <1% | 64% | 1% |
| Newcastle United | 3 (23.73%) | 69 | 39 | <1% | 55% | 1% |
| Liverpool | 5 (18.54%) | 65 | 29 | <1% | 29% | <1% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 6 (17.98%) | 64 | 36 | <1% | 22% | <1% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 (17.37%) | 63 | 31 | <1% | 22% | <1% |
| Chelsea | 8 (17.98%) | 59 | 29 | <1% | 7% | <1% |
| Brentford | 10 (18.02%) | 53 | 30 | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Aston Villa | 10 (17.49%) | 52 | 28 | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Fulham | 10 (18.25%) | 52 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Crystal Palace | 12 (15.34%) | 44 | 24 | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| West Ham United | 14 (14.05%) | 41 | 18 | 13% | <1% | <1% |
| Leicester City | 15 (13.49%) | 40 | 18 | 16% | <1% | <1% |
| Leeds United | 14 (13.15%) | 40 | 18 | 15% | <1% | <1% |
| Nottingham Forest | 17 (14.67%) | 37 | 21 | 28% | <1% | <1% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 18 (14.54%) | 36 | 17 | 37% | <1% | <1% |
| Southampton | 19 (17.49%) | 33 | 15 | 51% | <1% | <1% |
| Bournemouth | 20 (28.91%) | 31 | 17 | 66% | <1% | <1% |
| Everton | 20 (30.27%) | 30 | 15 | 68% | <1% | <1% |
