Match Info

LMP

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Fernando Valenzuela (Hermosillo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Naranjeros de Hermosillo		Tomateros de Culiacán

	1	2
	1.5	2.4
			Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naranjeros de Hermosillo
61.5%

Tomateros de Culiacán
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naranjeros de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tomateros de Culiacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomateros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Lineups

Batters
33. Cardona J.	55. Pablo
7. Atondo J.	8. Rios R.
43. Ramirez H.	20. Singleton J.
37. Calhoun W.	32. Meneses J.
22. Hall D.	10. Martinez O.
61. Garcia R.	88. Villegas F.
50. Murillo A.	77. Whalen B.
18. Loya J.	12. Verdugo L.
12. Burruel S.	26. Ruiz I.
Pitchers
56. Uelmen E.	91. Kahaloa I.
Coaches
. Castro J.	. Amezaga A.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Naranjeros will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 76:79. (average 3.8:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Naranjeros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 46:40. (average 4.2:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.28%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naranjeros de Hermosillo
LMP
29.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	5:4 ✺
28.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	0:6 ✺
26.10.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	2:14 ✺
25.10.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	6:2 ✺
24.10.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW
- Tomateros de Culiacán
LMP
29.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	5:4 ✺
28.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	0:6 ✺
26.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	10:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5 ✺
24.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
29.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	5:4
28.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	0:6
08.12.24	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	6:2
07.12.24	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	5:4
06.12.24	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán	6:2
03.11.24	Tomateros de Culiacán - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	3:1
02.11.24	Tomateros de Culiacán - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	7:3

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Tomateros de Culiacán: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide