Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
team | position | project points | now | relegated | prom. playoffs | promoted | win league |
Fulham | 1 (100%) | 90 | 90 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
Bournemouth | 2 (100%) | 88 | 88 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Huddersfield Town | 3 (100%) | 82 | 82 | 0% | 100% | 36% | 0% |
Nottingham Forest | 4 (100%) | 80 | 80 | 0% | 100% | 64% | 0% |
Sheffield United | 5 (100%) | 75 | 75 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Luton Town | 6 (100%) | 75 | 75 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Middlesbrough | 7 (100%) | 70 | 70 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Blackburn Rovers | 8 (100%) | 69 | 69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Millwall | 9 (100%) | 69 | 69 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
West Bromwich Albion | 10 (100%) | 67 | 67 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Queens Park Rangers | 11 (100%) | 66 | 66 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Coventry City | 12 (100%) | 64 | 64 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Preston North End | 13 (100%) | 64 | 64 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Stoke City | 14 (100%) | 62 | 62 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Swansea City | 15 (100%) | 61 | 61 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Blackpool | 16 (100%) | 60 | 60 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Bristol City | 17 (100%) | 55 | 55 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Cardiff City | 18 (100%) | 53 | 53 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Hull City | 19 (100%) | 51 | 51 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Birmingham City | 20 (100%) | 47 | 47 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Reading | 21 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Peterborough United | 22 (100%) | 37 | 37 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Derby County | 23 (100%) | 34 | 34 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Barnsley | 24 (100%) | 30 | 30 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |