The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Navegantes del Magallanes 55.9%
Caribes de Anzoátegui 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navegantes del Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Caribes de Anzoátegui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navegantes del Magallanes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caribes de Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
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Lineups
Batters
7. Tovar W.
66. Mendoza C.
87. Alfonzo E.
21. Perez H.
12. Odor R.
37. Corredor A.
61. Cedeno L.
5. Infante D.
30. Reyes A.
28. Fuenmayor B.
17. Sardinas . L.
7. Rodriguez H.
14. Marcano T.
45. Sucre J.
9. Gomez J.
2. Valera L.
5. Leon S.
3. Pinero A.
Pitchers
49. Sanchez R.
. Vargas E.
Coaches
. Molina Y.
. Cabrera A.
Preview
Navegantes Magallanes leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navegantes won 4.
Navegantes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Caribes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Navegantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Navegantes won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 146:120. (average 7.3:6).
Including home matches between the teams, Navegantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:49. (average 5.4:6.1).