Match Info

EuroBaseball - Play Offs - Final

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Neptunus Familiestadion (Rotterdam)


	Netherlands		Italy

	1	X	2
	1.8		1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)		1.9 (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
51.4%

Italy
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Netherlands than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Batters
18. Gregorius D.	5. Angioi G.
6. Schoop J.	13. Batista N.
12. Clementina H.	25. Gonzalez N.
15. Schoop S.	28. Martini R.
13. Profar J.	35. Lasaracina G.
41. Helder E.	18. Mineo A.
11. Didder R.	34. Ducato Guevara J.
4. Tromp J.	4. Morresi L.
2. Selassa D. Q.	6. Paolini R.
Pitchers
39. Martis S.	16. Bocchi M.
Coaches
. Thoen E.	. Cervelli F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 4.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 60:37. (average 5.5:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands baseball
European Championship Baseball
26.09.25	Netherlands - Spain	6:1 ✺
25.09.25	Netherlands - Croatia	3:1 ✺
22.09.25	Netherlands - Israel	9:1 ✺
21.09.25	France - Netherlands	4:13 ✺
20.09.25	Great Britain - Netherlands	3:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Italy baseball
European Championship Baseball
26.09.25	Czech Republic - Italy	5:8 ✺
25.09.25	Germany - Italy	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	France - Italy	2:6 ✺
22.09.25	Italy - Greece	9:4 ✺
21.09.25	Lithuania - Italy	0:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Baseball Classic
12.03.23	Italy - Netherlands	7:1
Olympic Games - Baseball
22.09.19	Italy - Netherlands	3:8
European Championship Baseball
15.09.19	Netherlands - Italy	5:1
Super 6 Baseball
23.09.18	Netherlands - Italy	Canceled
20.09.18	Netherlands - Italy	9:8
Friendly International Baseball
21.10.17	Netherlands - Italy	2:6
20.10.17	Italy - Netherlands	3:2

Netherlands - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide