Match Info

LMP

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tomateros (Culiacán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Tomateros de Culiacán		Venados de Mazatlán

	1	2
	1.45	2.6
			Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomateros de Culiacán
63.9%

Venados de Mazatlán
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomateros de Culiacán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Venados de Mazatlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomateros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Batters
55. Pablo	51. Simington M.
8. Rios R.	19. Pena . R.
10. Martinez O.	3. Alvarez A.
32. Meneses J.	30. Urena E.
20. Singleton J.	79. German L.
88. Villegas F.	70. Mora J.
57. Cano I.	41. Gaitan J.
44. Solis A.	15. Kirk J.
12. Verdugo L.	66. Quintero B.
Pitchers
0. Barreda M.	45. Kingham N.
Coaches
. Amezaga A.	. Alvarez G.

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomateros won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tomateros will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tomateros won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 102:69. (average 5.1:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomateros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 68:42. (average 5.2:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomateros de Culiacán - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.52%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Venados de Mazatlán - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomateros de Culiacán
LMP
19.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	8:3 ✺
18.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5 ✺
16.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Tomateros de Culiacán	2:8 ✺
14.11.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Tomateros de Culiacán	7:5 ✺
13.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Charros de Jalisco	9:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Venados de Mazatlán Baseball
LMP
19.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	8:3 ✺
18.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5 ✺
16.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	2:9 ✺
14.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
19.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	8:3
18.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5
26.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	10:2
25.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5
24.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	9:0
06.01.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	2:4
05.01.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	3:2

Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide