Match Info

LMP

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Teodoro Mariscal (Mazatlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Venados de Mazatlán		Charros de Jalisco

	1	2
	2.7	1.4
			Watch
			Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados de Mazatlán
32.6%

Charros de Jalisco
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados de Mazatlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Charros de Jalisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charros de Jalisco will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Lineups

Batters
70. Mora J.	59. Serna J.
3. Alvarez A.	3. Gil M.
41. Gaitan J.	40. Madris B.
19. Pena . R.	14. Diaz E.
48. Lamas K.	17. Rodriguez R.
25. Macias F.	31. Ornelas J.
15. Kirk J.	49. Amador J.
82. Gomez S.	42. Rodriguez A.
66. Quintero B.	22. Castro D.
Pitchers
16. Dominguez M.	15. Goddard J.
Coaches
. Pacho J.	. Gil B.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.

Recent performances by Venados have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jalisco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Jalisco is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 92:89. (average 4.6:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:40. (average 3.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados de Mazatlán Baseball
LMP
29.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	6:5 ✺
28.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	4:7 ✺
26.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	10:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5 ✺
24.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL
- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
29.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	6:5 ✺
28.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	4:7 ✺
26.10.25	Charros de Jalisco - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:6 ✺
25.10.25	Charros de Jalisco - Jaguares de Nayarit	12:6 ✺
24.10.25	Charros de Jalisco - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
29.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	6:5
28.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	4:7
19.12.24	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	6:7
18.12.24	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	4:0
17.12.24	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	6:5
14.11.24	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	1:5
13.11.24	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	3:2

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