Match Info

LMP

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Teodoro Mariscal (Mazatlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Venados de Mazatlán		Yaquis de Obregón

	1	2
	2.25	1.58
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados de Mazatlán
41.3%

Yaquis de Obregón
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados de Mazatlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Yaquis de Obregón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaquis de Obregón than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Lineups

Batters
51. Simington M.	2. McDermott M.
79. German L.	48. Cavero B.
19. Pena . R.	42. Guzman M.
30. Urena E.	8. Hurtado A.
3. Alvarez A.	19. Paris K.
70. Mora J.	57. Williamson G.
41. Gaitan J.	39. Rios N.
25. Macias F.	6. Marquez V.
15. Kirk J.	23. Villavicencio K.
Pitchers
65. Urquidy J.	56. Lara O.
Coaches
. Alvarez G.	. Alvarez G.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 0.

In recent matches, Venados has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yaquis is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yaquis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:66. (average 3.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 3.7:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Venados de Mazatlán - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Yaquis de Obregón - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.72%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados de Mazatlán Baseball
LMP
22.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	3:4 ✺
21.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	0:5 ✺
20.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	0:1 ✺
19.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	8:3 ✺
18.11.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW
- Yaquis de Obregón
LMP
22.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	3:4 ✺
21.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	0:5 ✺
20.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Algodoneros de Guasave	1:5 ✺
19.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Algodoneros de Guasave	7:3 ✺
18.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Algodoneros de Guasave	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
22.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	3:4
21.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	0:5
19.10.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Venados de Mazatlán	9:3
18.10.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Venados de Mazatlán	4:3
17.10.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Venados de Mazatlán	1:0
01.12.24	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	6:2
29.11.24	Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón	8:4

Venados de Mazatlán - Yaquis de Obregón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide