Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 10

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia (Coimbra)


	Académica Coimbra		Alianca Sangalhos

	1	2
	1.48	2.3
	1.48	2.37
	1.24	3.60	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.52	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
63.8%

Alianca Sangalhos
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alianca Sangalhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académica Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianca Sangalhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Académica Coimbra - Alianca Sangalhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Naia A.	11. Boban J.
2. Powell J.	5. Cotton R.
17. Santana M.	34. Manhanga D.
3. Silva M.	16. Susa N.
21. Waller M.	30. Vitosis L.
Substitutes
10. Brito N. (C)	10. Gomes Abreu R.
1. Costa M.	0. Lemos S.
9. Ferreira M.	8. Madureira G. (C)
8. Fonseca T.	4. Rodrigues D.
30. Matos A.	13. Sassinda I.
24. Monteiro D.	2. Silva E.
13. Santos D.
Coaches
. Moutinho J.	. Semedo R.

Preview

Recent performances by Académica have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sangalhos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sangalhos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Académica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 299:375. (average 59.8:75).

Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 99:136. (average 49.5:68).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Sangalhos	2	1	1	154:137	3
14	Academica	2	0	2	148:163	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.03.26	Galomar - Académica Coimbra	85:75 ✺
15.03.26	CB Queluz - Académica Coimbra	50:49 ✺
14.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Santo André	68:63 ✺
07.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Sampaense	67:54 ✺
28.02.26	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	91:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWL
- Alianca Sangalhos
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.03.26	Lusitânia - Alianca Sangalhos	89:69 ✺
14.03.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Galomar	76:101 ✺
07.03.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Benfica B	82:75 ✺
28.02.26	Santo André - Alianca Sangalhos	85:77 ✺
21.02.26	Alianca Sangalhos - CB Queluz	63:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
07.02.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Académica Coimbra	81:75
20.12.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Académica Coimbra	75:65
31.10.25	Académica Coimbra - Alianca Sangalhos	50:51
04.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Alianca Sangalhos	49:85
01.12.23	Alianca Sangalhos - Académica Coimbra	83:60

Académica Coimbra - Alianca Sangalhos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide