Match Info

Premijer liga - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico (Sinj)


	Alkar		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.53	2.25
	1.72	2.04
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	2.19 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alkar
57.8%

Dinamo Zagreb
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alkar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alkar's performance.

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alkar than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alkar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Cvitanovic L.	5. Garafolic H. (C)
12. Kresic M.	77. Jacovic F.
2. Marcinkovic P.	47. Kraljevic F.
10. Matulina M.	15. Novacic I.
15. Spaleta M.	9. Savic E.
Substitutes
1. Domazet E.	3. Hunt D.
4. Gordon D.	7. Krizanac K.
35. Jukic M. (C)	4. Paponja F.
31. Karamarko G.	28. Polutak I.
9. Klepo A.	44. Vidovic M.
8. Sisko F.
17. Tomasevic M.
Coaches
. Dominovic R.	. Licina M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alkar won 4.

Alkar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Alkar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 896:997. (average 74.7:83.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alkar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 506:561. (average 72.3:80.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Dinamo Zagreb	3	2	1	229:263	5
9	Alkar	3	1	2	246:263	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Alkar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
19.04.26	Dubrava - Alkar	85:69 ✺
15.04.26	Alkar - Kvarner	77:69 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	80:62 ✺
04.04.26	Alkar - KK Zadar	58:69 ✺
29.03.26	KK Split - Alkar	80:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- KK Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
18.04.26	GKK Šibenka - Dinamo Zagreb	84:74 ✺
15.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Dubrava	72:87 ✺
11.04.26	Kvarner - Dinamo Zagreb	96:67 ✺
04.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Virtus Zagreb	80:85 ✺
ENBL
01.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Manchester Basketball	94:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
03.01.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Alkar	76:81
11.10.25	Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb	74:72
02.05.25	Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb	63:62
01.03.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Alkar	96:86
08.12.24	Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb	88:80
20.04.24	Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb	79:100
02.03.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Alkar	74:68

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