Match Info

Basketligaen - Losers stage

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Amager Hallen (Copenhagen)


	Amager		Holbæk-Stenhus

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.15	Watch
	1.64	2.17
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.18 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amager
57.4%

Holbæk-Stenhus
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amager's performance.

Holbæk-Stenhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holbæk-Stenhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amager than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amager that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk-Stenhus than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holbæk-Stenhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amager - Holbæk Stenhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Fleckenstein F. (C)	10. Aabling J.
12. Gron L.	9. Heming K.
13. Gum M.	15. Mccalister M.
1. Jellesmark A.	5. Prater F.
24. Quackenbush O.	22. Stubkjaer M.
Substitutes
2. de Selsted R.	6. Drame M.
3. Foldgaard O.	8. Heming A.
9. Kyhn L.	3. Pastik T.
11. Mollbach E.	21. Shinkarev M.
77. Nielsen S.	1. Vanner O. (C)
21. Sorensen A.	2. Vazquez B.
Coaches
. Ryan P.	. Garcia M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amager won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Amager will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Amager won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1460:1459. (average 85.9:85.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Amager won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 746:704. (average 93.3:88).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Holbaek-Stenhus	5	2	3	383:447	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Amager
Danish Basketligaen
01.04.26	Amager - Vejen	85:107 ✺
29.03.26	Vejen - Amager	82:84 ✺
21.03.26	Amager - BMS Herlev	97:72 ✺
14.03.26	Amager - Værløse Basket	107:109 OT ✺
11.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	75:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWLW
- Holbæk-Stenhus BK
Danish Basketligaen
01.04.26	BMS Herlev - Holbæk-Stenhus	65:80 ✺
28.03.26	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	87:80 ✺
21.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Vejen	90:93 ✺
14.03.26	Bears Academy - Holbæk-Stenhus	80:84 ✺
11.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	75:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
11.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	75:83
18.12.25	Amager - Holbæk-Stenhus	96:90 OT
11.12.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	77:83
Danish Cup Basketball
08.11.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	83:76
Danish Basketligaen
03.05.25	Amager - Holbæk-Stenhus	98:106
06.04.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	104:93
08.03.25	Amager - Holbæk-Stenhus	95:85

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