Match Info

Basketligaen - Losers stage

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Herlevhallen (Herlev)


	BMS Herlev		Holbæk-Stenhus

	1	2
	2.35	1.48	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.33	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.43	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.83)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BMS Herlev
38.7%

Holbæk-Stenhus
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BMS Herlev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BMS Herlev's form might have worsened.

Holbæk-Stenhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holbæk-Stenhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BMS Herlev than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BMS Herlev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk-Stenhus than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holbæk-Stenhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BMS Herlev - Holbæk Stenhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Brandt P.	9. Heming K.
2. Christoffersen L. (C)	15. Mccalister M.
30. Isnord K.	5. Prater F.
9. Novovic S.	22. Stubkjaer M. (C)
13. Radich L.	2. Vazquez B.
Substitutes
4. Berger Petersen N.	10. Aabling J.
44. Faber C.	6. Drame M.
3. Gjerlov C.	8. Heming A.
5. Hom J.	4. Lemming M.
14. Martinusen E.	3. Pastik T.
10. Mortensen A.	21. Shinkarev M.
32. Osullivan D.	1. Vanner O.
Coaches
. Norgaard C.	. Garcia M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BMS Herlev won 1.

BMS Herlev is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Holbæk-Stenhus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, BMS Herlev won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1120:1090. (average 86.2:83.8).

Including home matches between the teams, BMS Herlev won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 530:506. (average 88.3:84.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Holbaek-Stenhus	5	2	3	383:447	4
11	BMS Herlev	5	1	4	379:480	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BMS Herlev
Danish Basketligaen
28.03.26	BMS Herlev - Bears Academy	57:81 ✺
21.03.26	Amager - BMS Herlev	97:72 ✺
15.03.26	Vejen - BMS Herlev	68:66 ✺
11.03.26	BMS Herlev - Værløse Basket	88:95 ✺
07.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - BMS Herlev	100:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Holbæk-Stenhus BK
Danish Basketligaen
28.03.26	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	87:80 ✺
21.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Vejen	90:93 ✺
14.03.26	Bears Academy - Holbæk-Stenhus	80:84 ✺
11.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Amager	75:83 ✺
07.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - BMS Herlev	100:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
07.03.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - BMS Herlev	100:85
05.02.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - BMS Herlev	106:94
06.10.25	BMS Herlev - Holbæk-Stenhus	92:89
16.04.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - BMS Herlev	86:73
15.03.25	BMS Herlev - Holbæk-Stenhus	76:100
07.02.25	BMS Herlev - Holbæk-Stenhus	80:73
14.11.24	Holbæk-Stenhus - BMS Herlev	92:102

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