Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 8

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)


	Benfica B		Lusitânia

	1	2
	2.18	1.53
	2.38	1.48
	1.93	1.76
	2.5	1.44
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
39.9%

Lusitânia
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica B - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Filipe T. (C)	17. Almeida B.
6. Martins A.	22. Cipalla K.
9. Silva T.	7. Neves J.
21. Simoes F.	99. Tavares D.
16. Sousa S.	3. Ugwuakazi O.
Substitutes
34. Alberto A.	4. Alves S.
14. Andrade J.	9. Dias A.
32. Fortunato D.	11. Eyisi O.
15. Goncalves M.	10. Freitas M. (C)
39. Mendes J.	57. Mendes R.
18. Santos P.	97. Silva S.
2. Viegas G.
Coaches
. Afonso T.	. Avila J.

Preview

Benfica B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lusitânia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Lusitânia will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 292:370. (average 73:92.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 147:196. (average 73.5:98).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Lusitania	2	2	0	161:124	4
15	Benfica Lisboa B	2	0	2	123:141	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Lisboa B Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
07.03.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Benfica B	82:75 ✺
27.02.26	Benfica B - CB Queluz	68:77 ✺
21.02.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	64:70 ✺
15.02.26	Benfica B - Galomar	80:62 ✺
06.02.26	Benfica B - Santo André	69:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW
- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
07.03.26	CB Queluz - Lusitânia	76:83 ✺
28.02.26	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	91:85 ✺
22.02.26	Galomar - Lusitânia	77:85 ✺
12.02.26	Lusitânia - Santo André	76:73 ✺
31.01.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Lusitânia	103:109 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
24.01.26	Lusitânia - Benfica B	89:72
26.04.25	Lusitânia - Benfica B	85:73
02.03.25	Benfica B - Lusitânia	82:94
01.12.24	Benfica B - Lusitânia	65:102

Benfica B - Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide