Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 6

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo (Angra do Heroísmo)


	Lusitânia		Académica Coimbra

	1	2
	1.18	3.8
	1.16	3.87
	1.27	3.31
	1.14	4.75
	1.26	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.02)	3.84 ↓ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
76.2%

Académica Coimbra
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitânia's form might have worsened.

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Académica Coimbra's recent form is better than expected.

Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:65

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Almeida B.	1. Costa M.
22. Cipalla K.	2. Powell J.
7. Neves J.	17. Santana M.
99. Tavares D.	3. Silva M.
3. Ugwuakazi O.	21. Waller M.
Substitutes
4. Alves S.	10. Brito N. (C)
9. Dias A.	8. Fonseca T.
29. Fainha P.	24. Monteiro D.
10. Freitas M. (C)	15. Naia A.
57. Mendes R.	13. Santos D.
14. Pavao M.
97. Silva S.
Coaches
. Avila J.	. Moutinho J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 5.

Lusitânia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Académica's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lusitânia is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 538:461. (average 89.7:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lusitânia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 255:218. (average 85:72.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Lusitania	2	2	0	161:124	4
14	Academica	2	0	2	148:163	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.02.26	Galomar - Lusitânia	77:85 ✺
12.02.26	Lusitânia - Santo André	76:73 ✺
31.01.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Lusitânia	103:109 OT ✺
24.01.26	Lusitânia - Benfica B	89:72 ✺
10.01.26	Povoa - Lusitânia	82:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Académica Coimbra Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.02.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	64:70 ✺
07.02.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Académica Coimbra	81:75 ✺
01.02.26	Académica Coimbra - Galomar	86:74 ✺
25.01.26	Santo André - Académica Coimbra	69:65 ✺
03.01.26	Académica Coimbra - Povoa	66:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
13.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	71:100
25.10.25	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	66:56
Portuguese LPB
12.02.22	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	89:99
21.12.21	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	96:79
17.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	83:84
17.10.20	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	93:83

Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide