Match Info

Super League - Play Out

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Romazan Sport Palace (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Barnaul

	1	2
	1.5	2.33
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	2.26 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
59.2%

Barnaul
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Magnitogorsk's performance.

Barnaul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnaul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Magnitogorsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnaul than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnaul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barnaul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Balandin R.	4. Airikh D.
1. Glazunov A.	99. Bliznyuk V.
20. Kochergin D.	19. Khalturin D.
11. Orekhov V.	5. Naumov V.
9. Vennikov I.	44. Sorokin I.
Substitutes
12. Lutych M.	14. Beloshapko M.
10. Maltsev A.	88. Chizhenok A.
5. Martynov V.	11. Grushevskiy I.
18. Mikheev K.	9. Nezvankin D.
21. Stepantsov A.	77. Savchenko M.
	23. Shcherbakov R.

Preview

Metallurg M has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barnaul has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 324:289. (average 81:72.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 163:142. (average 81.5:71).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
12	Metallurg	2	0	2	135:166	0.000
13	Barnaul	3	0	3	230:269	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk Basketball
Russian Super League Basketball
22.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Zenit 2	75:82 ✺
19.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Dynamo Grozny	58:70 ✺
09.03.26	BC Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	61:60 ✺
06.03.26	Barnaul - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	78:82 ✺
21.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Universitet-Yugra Surgut	77:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- BC Barnaul
Russian Super League Basketball
25.03.26	Barnaul - Dynamo Vladivostok	78:83 ✺
20.03.26	BC Novosibirsk - Barnaul	64:53 ✺
09.03.26	Barnaul - Chelbasket	56:101 ✺
06.03.26	Barnaul - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	78:82 ✺
21.02.26	CSKA 2 - Barnaul	99:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super League Basketball
06.03.26	Barnaul - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	78:82
16.12.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barnaul	82:67
07.03.25	Barnaul - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	69:79
07.12.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barnaul	81:75

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barnaul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide