Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Vilkaviškis District School of Sports (Vilkaviskis)


	Perlas Vilkaviškis		Vytis Šakiai

	1	2
	1.58	2.15
	1.61	2.22
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.16
	1.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	2.13 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perlas Vilkaviškis
57.1%

Vytis Šakiai
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perlas Vilkaviškis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vytis Šakiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perlas Vilkaviškis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vytis Šakiai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bancevicius A.	24. Celka G. (C)
21. Gadsden Jr T.	22. Janusevicius T.
7. Hopenas A.	13. Leliukas K.
34. Stankevicius G.	12. Mikstas A.
19. Zukauskas M. (C)	2. Vaivada N.
Substitutes
35. Kucinskas G.	11. Jocys R.
33. Quillan G.	18. Lebskas N.
23. Saterfield J. T.	6. Mazeika G.
50. Skucas Z.	1. Norutis R.
	23. Rubinas J.
	3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Zablockis S.	. Kuciauskas E.

Preview

Vytis VDU leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 1.

Perlas Vilkaviškis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vytis Šakiai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Perlas Vilkaviškis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vytis Šakiai has had a series of home games.

Perlas Vilkaviškis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1355:1423. (average 84.7:88.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 666:726. (average 83.3:90.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
23.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	101:91 ✺
17.04.26	Sūduva - Perlas Vilkaviškis	77:65 ✺
14.04.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Sūduva	72:76 ✺
11.04.26	Sūduva - Perlas Vilkaviškis	104:77 ✺
04.04.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Šilutė	99:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
23.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	101:91 ✺
18.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	83:84 ✺
15.04.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	89:83 ✺
12.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	71:80 ✺
10.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	90:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
23.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	101:91
12.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	89:82
17.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	70:88
22.11.25	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	86:93
06.02.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	94:98
05.12.24	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	80:82
14.11.24	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	79:83

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