Match Info

VTB United League

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Palace of Sport (Samara)


	Samara		Avtodor Saratov

	1	2
	2.08	1.69
	1.95	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.61)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samara
47.1%

Avtodor Saratov
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samara's form might have worsened.

Avtodor Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avtodor Saratov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtodor Saratov than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avtodor Saratov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Samara - Avtodor Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Cheburkin D.	12. Klimenko A.
1. Chevarenkov A.	10. Kosko D.
23. Kulagin M.	9. Motovilov G.
10. Mikhailovskii N.	1. Pranauskis V.
14. Minchenko E.	13. Volkhin I.
Substitutes
30. Chikarev D.	3. Beslac D.
27. Kosyakov N.	4. Evseev A.
3. Kuznetsov A.	6. Fedorov A.
16. Pokhodyaev D.	14. Newman M.
4. Sheiko G.	0. Sushchik A.
	7. Zemsky P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samara won 1.

Samara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avtodor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Samara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1493:1543. (average 78.6:81.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Samara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 646:669. (average 80.8:83.6).

Outrights of VTB United League for now

Saratov: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Saratov	4	2	2	297:312	0.500
11	Samara	3	0	3	215:292	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Samara
VTB United League
04.03.26	Samara - Uralmash	69:73 ✺
18.02.26	Samara - Nizhny Novgorod	87:94 ✺
12.02.26	Avtodor Saratov - Samara	87:95 ✺
04.02.26	Samara - MBA Moscow	51:102 ✺
01.02.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Samara	113:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLL
- BC Avtodor Saratov
VTB United League
07.03.26	Avtodor Saratov - Uralmash	53:102 ✺
21.02.26	Avtodor Saratov - UNICS	65:101 ✺
17.02.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Avtodor Saratov	85:64 ✺
12.02.26	Avtodor Saratov - Samara	87:95 ✺
08.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Avtodor Saratov	95:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
12.02.26	Avtodor Saratov - Samara	87:95
20.12.25	Samara - Avtodor Saratov	99:102 OT
04.10.25	Avtodor Saratov - Samara	84:76
13.04.25	Avtodor Saratov - Samara	84:69
02.03.25	Samara - Avtodor Saratov	74:90
14.12.24	Avtodor Saratov - Samara	81:75
07.11.24	Samara - Avtodor Saratov	73:76

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