Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques (São Paio de Gramaços)


	Sampaense		Lusitânia

	1	2
	2.75	1.34
	2.93	1.31
	2.63	1.42
	2.7	1.4
	2.53	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sampaense
33.7%

Lusitânia
66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sampaense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lusitânia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sampaense - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:73

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bastos M.	17. Almeida B.
20. Dusels A.	22. Cipalla K.
8. Goncalves D. (C)	7. Neves J.
0. Silva G.	99. Tavares D.
10. Terry M.	3. Ugwuakazi O.
Substitutes
12. Abrantes P.	4. Alves S.
2. Banaru V.	9. Dias A.
11. Diop M.	11. Eyisi O.
4. Marques A.	10. Freitas M. (C)
25. Quissanga S.	57. Mendes R.
6. Silva A.	97. Silva S.
Coaches
. Figueiredo C.	. Avila J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaense won 2.

Recent form of Sampaense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lusitânia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lusitânia might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Lusitânia will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sampaense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 636:733. (average 79.5:91.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampaense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 340:370. (average 85:92.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Lusitania	2	2	0	161:124	4
7	Sampaense	2	1	1	167:170	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.03.26	CB Queluz - Sampaense	76:59 ✺
07.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Sampaense	67:54 ✺
28.02.26	Sampaense - Galomar	52:78 ✺
22.02.26	Santo André - Sampaense	78:51 ✺
14.02.26	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	75:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.03.26	Benfica B - Lusitânia	86:88 ✺
07.03.26	CB Queluz - Lusitânia	76:83 ✺
28.02.26	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	91:85 ✺
22.02.26	Galomar - Lusitânia	77:85 ✺
12.02.26	Lusitânia - Santo André	76:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.11.25	Lusitânia - Sampaense	87:46
04.10.25	Sampaense - Lusitânia	82:74
19.04.25	Sampaense - Lusitânia	84:103
22.02.25	Lusitânia - Sampaense	100:80
Portuguese LPB
29.04.17	Sampaense - Lusitânia	109:97
02.04.17	Lusitânia - Sampaense	88:87
25.02.17	Sampaense - Lusitânia	65:96

Sampaense - Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide