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Current Win Probability
Tartu Rock 30.2%
Rīgas Zeļļi 69.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
59.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tartu Rock's form might have worsened.
Rīgas Zeļļi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rīgas Zeļļi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tartu Rock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas Zeļļi than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rīgas Zeļļi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tartu Rock - Rīgas Zeļļi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:86
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. El Sheikh O.
31. Berzins J. (C)
4. Maidoh C.
15. Cavars K.
40. Paasoja M. (C)
1. Perkins T.
11. Palek K.
2. Shungu B.
7. Smith M.
55. Tkachenko I.
Substitutes
16. Andre R.
33. Johnson I.
3. Hint A.
12. Kikusts K.
20. Nurger R.
3. Skuja T.
5. Perv T. A.
10. Sulcs R.
1. Rosenthal M.
22. Talcis T.
34. Sinnik V.
13. Varnas M.
2. Valge R.
Coaches
. Kuusmaa A.
. Kondratavicius R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 3.
In recent outings, Tartu Rock has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rīgas Zeļļi shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Rīgas Zeļļi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Rīgas Zeļļi carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Tartu Rock has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 645:669 (averaging 71.7:74.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tartu Rock against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 315:291 goals (averaging 78.8:72.8 per game).
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El Sheikh O. 
Berzins J. (C) 
Maidoh C. 
Paasoja M. (C) 
Tkachenko I. 
Varnas M. 
