Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Sakiu sporto centras (Sakiai)


	Vytis Šakiai		Perlas Vilkaviškis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.68
	1.46	2.55
	1.38	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.37	2.85
	1.47	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	2.6 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vytis Šakiai
64.9%

Perlas Vilkaviškis
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vytis Šakiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vytis Šakiai's performance.

Perlas Vilkaviškis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perlas Vilkaviškis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vytis Šakiai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perlas Vilkaviškis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vytis Šakiai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Vytis Šakiai (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vytis Šakiai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Celka G. (C)	4. Bancevicius A.
22. Janusevicius T.	21. Gadsden Jr T.
13. Leliukas K.	7. Hopenas A.
12. Mikstas A.	35. Kucinskas G.
2. Vaivada N.	34. Stankevicius G.
Substitutes
11. Jocys R.	33. Quillan G.
18. Lebskas N.	23. Saterfield J. T.
6. Mazeika G.	19. Zukauskas M. (C)
1. Norutis R.
3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Kuciauskas E.	. Zablockis S.

Preview

Vytis VDU leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 4.

In recent matches, Vytis Šakiai has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Perlas Vilkaviškis has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vytis Šakiai might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1510:1433. (average 88.8:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vytis Šakiai won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 697:689. (average 87.1:86.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2

Last Results with these Odds

Vytis Šakiai - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Perlas Vilkaviškis - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
25.04.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	78:87 ✺
23.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	101:91 ✺
18.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	83:84 ✺
15.04.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	89:83 ✺
12.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	71:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
25.04.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	78:87 ✺
23.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	101:91 ✺
17.04.26	Sūduva - Perlas Vilkaviškis	77:65 ✺
14.04.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Sūduva	72:76 ✺
11.04.26	Sūduva - Perlas Vilkaviškis	104:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
25.04.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	78:87
23.04.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	101:91
12.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	89:82
17.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	70:88
22.11.25	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	86:93
06.02.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	94:98
05.12.24	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	80:82

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