The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamilton Tiger Cats 30%
Montreal Alouettes 70%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
68.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
68.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Tiger Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Tiger Cats than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Hamilton Tiger Cats - Montreal Alouettes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:33
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Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ CFL PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ CFL PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 2.
Hamilton is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Montreal have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hamilton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Montreal carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Montreal in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hamilton has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 421:476 (averaging 21.1:23.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hamilton against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 212:239 goals (averaging 21.2:23.9 per game).
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