Match Info

NHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN Plus, NHL Network, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	Disney+
International	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		San Jose Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.25	3.75	Watch
	1.85	4.20	3.30
	1.88	4.25	3.50
	1.76	4.50	3.87
	1.85	4.5	3.44	Watch
	1.77	4.45	3.75
	1.86	4.52	3.47
	1.82	4.30	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.94)	4.37 ↑ (4.27)	3.57 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
51.9%

Draw
21.6%

San Jose Sharks
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

22.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Dallas Stars - San Jose Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Oettinger J. (G)	30. Askarov Y. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	7. Kesselring M.
23. Lindell E.	25. Nurse D.
14. Benn Ja. (C)	2. Smith W.
24. Hintz R.	71. Celebrini M. (C)
21. Robertson J.	27. Marchment M.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.	65. Trouba J.
55. Harley T.	6. Dickinson S.
96. Rantanen M.	51. Graf C.
53. Johnston W.	21. Wennberg A. (A)
18. Steel S.	41. Stenberg I.
Line 3
57. Myers T.	42. Cagnoni L.
6. Bichsel L.	9. Orlov D.
91. Seguin T. (A)	73. Toffoli T.
25. Hyry A.	77. Misa M.
49. Hryckowian J.	92. Chernyshov I.
Line 4
22. Kiviranta J.	44. Sherwood K.
12. Faksa R.	63. Ostapchuk Z.
10. Back O.	23. Goodrow B. (A)
Substitutes
1. DeSmith C. (G)	33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Warsofsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:01, Toffoli T. (2 min),
18:51, 1 - 0, Heiskanen M. (G), Hintz R. (A), Benn Ja. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
03:17, 2 - 0, Kiviranta J. (G), Faksa R. (A),
06:19, 3 - 0, Benn Ja. (G), Robertson J. (A), Hintz R. (A2)
08:21, Back O. (2 min),
11:04, Dickinson S. (2 min),
16:30, 4 - 0, Robertson J. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:11, Bichsel L. (2 min),
07:37, Orlov D. (2 min),
15:22, 5 - 0, Rantanen M. (G), Steel S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Dallas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

San Jose is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

San Jose could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, San Jose has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Dallas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Dallas: Duchene M. (Lower-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for San Jose: Gaudette A. (Upper-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dallas has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 79:58 (averaging 4:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dallas against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 33:20 goals (averaging 3.7:2.2 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Dallas Stars: 4.53% San Jose Sharks: 1.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Stars - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.66%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
03.10.26	Nashville Predators - Dallas Stars	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Dallas Stars - St. Louis Blues	0:4 ✺
25.09.26	Minnesota Wild - Dallas Stars	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Dallas Stars - Minnesota Wild	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Dallas Stars - St. Louis Blues	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW
- San Jose Sharks
NHL
03.10.26	San Jose Sharks - Los Angeles Kings	5:4 AET ✺
01.10.26	San Jose Sharks - Florida Panthers	4:3 AET ✺
26.09.26	Vegas Golden Knights - San Jose Sharks	2:4 ✺
24.09.26	San Jose Sharks - Anaheim Ducks	10:0 ✺
22.09.26	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
10.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	5:4 OT
18.12.25	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	3:5
05.12.25	Dallas Stars - San Jose Sharks	4:1
08.02.25	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	3:8
20.11.24	Dallas Stars - San Jose Sharks	5:2
15.10.24	Dallas Stars - San Jose Sharks	3:2 penalties
26.03.24	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	3:6

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