Match Info
Alps Hockey League - Play Offs - FinalDate: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pranives (Selva di Val Gardena)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | Valcome TV |
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Gherdëina |
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Merano Junior |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.42 |
4.75 |
5.05 |
Watch |
 |
1.35 |
5.7 |
5.28 |
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1.36 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
Watch |
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1.33 |
5 |
5.75 |
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1.32 |
5.45 |
6.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.63) |
5.32 ↑
(4.31) |
5.63 ↑
(3.98) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gherdëina
66.9% | Draw
17% | Merano Junior
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gherdëina's performance.Merano Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merano Junior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gherdëina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merano Junior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gherdëina - Merano Junior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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53.  Endre C. (G)
| 1.  Bernard A. (G)
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4. Senoner J.
| 53. Larcher E.
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43.  Guimond S.
| 27. Rein N.
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15.  Dostalek V.
| 20. Claesson S.
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44. Schiavone D.
| 87. Egger A.
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74. Biondi L.
| 13. Gellon D.
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| Line 2 |
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34. Brighenti T.
| 5. Golser A.
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29. Buono C.
| 7. Sherbinin B.
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23. Deluca S.
| 14. Stefanson R.
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28. Moncada L.
| 9. Tomasini P.
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22. Pitschieler S.
| 11. Cruseman F.
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| Line 3 |
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68. Soracreppa S.
| 23. Frick N.
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14.  Vozovik D.
| 19. Beber P.
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17. Luisetti M.
| 26. Fuchs J.
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93. Castlunger M.
| 75. Trivellato D.
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89. Kasslatter H.
| 21. Marinovich M.
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| Line 4 |
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16. Greci D.
| 64. Carissimi E.
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5. Linder B.
| 10. Curti A.
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19. Moroder S.
| 93. Kuppelwieser P.
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33. Esposito N.
| 18. Laimer G. S.
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7. Delucca T.
| 15. Mandruzzato G.
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| Substitutes |
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71. Rindone M. (G)
| 25. Vezzali G. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:14, 0 - 1, Sherbinin B. (G), Claesson S. (A),
- 19:11, 1 - 1, Dostalek V. (G), Guimond S. (A), Schiavone D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 02:27, 2 - 1, Dostalek V. (G), Castlunger M. (A), Buono C. (A2)
- 15:13, 3 - 1, Schiavone D. (G), Vozovik D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:07, 3 - 2, Trivellato D. (G), Gellon D. (A), Tomasini P. (A2)
- 06:12, 4 - 2, Deluca S. (G), Vozovik D. (A), Schiavone D. (A2)
- 10:26, 4 - 3, Tomasini P. (G), Gellon D. (A), Golser A. (A2)
Preview
Gherdeina leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 4.Gherdëina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).In recent matches, Merano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Gherdëina is a strong favorite.We predict that Gherdëina will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 66:55. (average 3.3:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Gherdëina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 3.6:3.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Merano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 | 14 |
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| 9 | Gherdeina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20:21 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Merano Junior - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 22.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Alps Hockey League | | | 16.04.26 | Merano Junior - Gherdëina | 2:6 | | 14.04.26 | Gherdëina - Merano Junior | 6:3 | | 11.04.26 | Merano Junior - Gherdëina | 1:5 | | 31.01.26 | Gherdëina - Merano Junior | 0:1 | | 25.10.25 | Gherdëina - Merano Junior | 4:3 OT | | 27.09.25 | Merano Junior - Gherdëina | 3:1 | | 22.02.25 | Merano Junior - Gherdëina | 4:2 |
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