Match Info

WCH IIB Women

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Mexico W		New Zealand W

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.6	3.2
	1.15	9.47	8.97	Watch
	1.51	4.8	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)	6.29 ↑ (4.6)	5.53 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico W
66.9%

Draw
15.5%

New Zealand W
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

19.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mexico W's performance.

New Zealand W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mexico W - New Zealand W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
03:41, 1 - 0, Rojas J. (G),
09:39, 1 - 1, Nelson K. (G), Vernal K. (A),
11:28, 1 - 2, Mulari A. (G), Gregory H. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:22, 1 - 3, Orr C. (G), Nelson K. (A), Horner-Pascoe J. (A2)
02:50, 2 - 3, Nevarez S. (G), Rosales P. (A),
07:46, 3 - 3, Rojas J. (G), Amaya N. (A), Rojas G. (A2)
14:43, 3 - 4, Horner-Pascoe J. (G), Nelson K. (A), Lilly R. (A2)
17:33, 3 - 5, Shields H. (G), Shattock R. (A), Gregory H. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:08, 4 - 5, Amaya N. (G), Heon C. (A), Ayala A. (A2)

Preview

Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mexico could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	New Zealand W	5	3	1	1	0	17:12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico W hockey
IIHF World Championship IIB Women
02.04.26	Mexico W - Hong Kong W	0:4 ✺
31.03.26	Mexico W - Belgium W	6:1 ✺
30.03.26	Ukraine W - Mexico W	4:2 ✺
IIHF World Championship IIA Women
13.04.25	Mexico W - North Korea W	1:2 penalties ✺
12.04.25	Iceland W - Mexico W	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- New Zealand W hockey
IIHF World Championship IIB Women
03.04.26	Belgium W - New Zealand W	1:7 ✺
02.04.26	New Zealand W - Lithuania W	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	New Zealand W - Ukraine W	2:8 ✺
30.03.26	New Zealand W - Hong Kong W	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	New Zealand W - Turkey W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IIB Women
02.03.17	Mexico W - New Zealand W	1:0
06.03.16	New Zealand W - Mexico W	2:5

Mexico W - New Zealand W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide