The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Charge 41%
Draw 24.6%
New York Sirens 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
24.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
26.9%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Charge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
New York Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Charge than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa Charge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Sirens than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Ottawa Charge - New York Sirens Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Philips G. (G)
82. Osborne K. (G)
5. Guilday R.
8. Nylen-Persson M.
88. Savolainen R.
28. Zandee-Hart M.
37. Leslie R.
10. Fillier S.
19. Jenner B. (C)
26. O'Brien C.
23. Wozniewicz S.
24. Cherkowski A.
Line 2
8. Reilly K.
20. Simpson A.
3. Larocque J. (A)
14. Bourbonnais J.
29. Hemp P.
19. Levis P.
17. Hughes G.
43. O'Neill K.
26. Clark E. (A)
44. Krizova D.
Line 3
6. Markowski S.
11. Vallario N.
25. Greco E.
16. Bernard L.
86. Cava M.
4. Hartje E.
16. Mrazova K.
41. Degeorge C.
71. Kadirova F.
18. Wheeler M.
Line 4
9. Ponyatovskaya V.
29. Fecteau E.
27. McQuigge B.
81. Vespa K.
10. Vasko A.
22. Bargman A.
22. House T.
Substitutes
1. Ahola S. (G)
55. Juodikis K.
37. Shanahan C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
11:44, 0 - 1, Levis P. (G), Nylen-Persson M. (A), Fillier S. (A2)
18:59, 1 - 1, Leslie R. (G), Jenner B. (A), Wozniewicz S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:54, 2 - 1, Larocque J. (G), Jenner B. (A),
14:08, 3 - 1, Hemp P. (G), Vasko A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:15, 4 - 1, Savolainen R. (G), Clark E. (A), Hughes G. (A2)
12:28, 5 - 1, Jenner B. (G), Larocque J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
New York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:41. (average 2.9:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 2.5:3.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Charge - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.26%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
New York Sirens - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.59%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.