Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 29

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Ritten (Ritten)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Ritten-Renon		Kitzbühel

	1	X	2
	1.93	4	2.85
	1.99	4.12	2.93	Watch
	1.91	4	2.88
	1.96	4.1	2.92
	1.95	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.99)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	2.9 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ritten-Renon
46.4%

Draw
22.4%

Kitzbühel
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

22.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

22.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ritten-Renon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ritten Renon - Kitzbühel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Furlong C. (G)	33. McCollum T. (G)
10. Crespi J.	4. Mitrovic M.
16. Madsen P.	14. Podlipnik M.
94. Welychka B.	24. Crnkic M.
23. Kostner S.	26. Bretschneider N.
86. Graf T.	86. Loshing Y.
Line 2
88. Insam M.	44. Mussbacher M.
5. March G.	10. Mader M.
15. Felicetti L.	93. Ketonen N.
7. Cuglietta D.	78. Maxa A.
91. Fink K.	11. Hochfilzer H.
Line 3
18. Uffelmann H.	91. Wetzl N.
3. Tauferer D.	70. Lippitsch J.
77. Oberrauch A.	20. Krainz C.
8. Ohler R.	37. Engelhart J.
76. Oberrauch M.
Substitutes
73. Clericuzio M.	88. Aigner R.
82. Innerhofer P.	18. Cernik D.
1. Ploner D. (G)	30. Gratzer M. (G)
	12. Hanl M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:57, 1 - 0, Crespi J. (G), Kostner S. (A), Welychka B. (A2)
14:45, 1 - 1, Loshing Y. (G),
15:46, 2 - 1, Ohler R. (G), Oberrauch M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:49, 3 - 1, Fink K. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:20, 3 - 2, Loshing Y. (G), Krainz C. (A), Podlipnik M. (A2)
19:45, 4 - 2, Fink K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ritten-Renon won 2.

Ritten-Renon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kitzbühel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ritten-Renon could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Ritten-Renon will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ritten-Renon won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:58. (average 2.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ritten-Renon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
26.12.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Ritten-Renon	1:5 ✺
22.12.25	Ritten-Renon - Acroni Jesenice	2:4 ✺
20.12.25	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Ritten-Renon	2:3 OT ✺
18.12.25	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	4:3 OT ✺
13.12.25	Merano Junior - Ritten-Renon	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWW
- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
26.12.25	Kitzbühel - Asiago	1:4 ✺
22.12.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	3:4 OT ✺
20.12.25	Vipiteno - Kitzbühel	6:3 ✺
18.12.25	Kitzbühel - Tigers Bregenzerwald	7:3 ✺
13.12.25	Kitzbühel - Zell am See	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
30.10.25	Ritten-Renon - Kitzbühel	0:3
04.10.25	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	5:2
22.02.25	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	3:2 OT
11.02.25	Ritten-Renon - Kitzbühel	6:5 OT
11.01.25	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	1:2
21.12.24	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	7:3
24.10.24	Ritten-Renon - Kitzbühel	2:6

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