Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 38

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Weihenstephan Arena (Sterzing)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Vipiteno		Ritten-Renon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.27	3.9	2.39
	2.23	3.68	2.45
	2.3	4.11	2.45	Watch
	2.24	3.94	2.45
	2.25	4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)	3.93 ↓ (3.95)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vipiteno
39.9%

Draw
23%

Ritten-Renon
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

23.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vipiteno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ritten-Renon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipiteno than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Vipiteno - Ritten Renon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
98. Groh D. (G)	29. Furlong C. (G)
42. Niccolai A.	88. Insam M.
2. Gschnitzer J.	26. Marzolini M.
54. Conci D.	94. Welychka B.
90. Cianfrone B.	7. Cuglietta D.
26. Sproviero F.	64. Alderson B.
Line 2
44. Nitz G.	18. Uffelmann H.
4. Ramo J.	5. March G.
37. Gschliesser F.	15. Felicetti L.
12. Livingston J.	23. Kostner S.
22. Zandegiacomo L.	91. Fink K.
Line 3
91. Brunner A.	3. Tauferer D.
21. Soraruf D.	38. Spornberger L.
61. Kruselburger L.	77. Oberrauch A.
19. Eisendle P.	86. Graf T.
80. Zecchetto A.	76. Oberrauch M.
Line 4
84. Nardon L.
41. Hofer E.
88. Sanvido C.
79. Kerschbaumer J.
Substitutes
30. Klammer F. (G)	82. Innerhofer P.
	30. Plattner F. (G)
	12. Prast P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
05:35, 0 - 1, Fink K. (G), Marzolini M. (A), Insam M. (A2)
10:59, 0 - 2, Welychka B. (G), Cuglietta D. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:05, 1 - 2, Ramo J. (G), Cianfrone B. (A),
07:00, 1 - 3, Alderson B. (G), Cuglietta D. (A),
17:22, 2 - 3, Soraruf D. (G), Sanvido C. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:23, 3 - 3, Cianfrone B. (G), Gschnitzer J. (A), Sproviero F. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:59, 4 - 3, Niccolai A. (G), Cianfrone B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vipiteno won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vipiteno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Vipiteno will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vipiteno won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 61:79. (average 3.1:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vipiteno won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 3.1:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Ritten	7	6	0	0	0	1	31:13	18
13	Vipiteno	5	0	1	0	0	4	15:27	2

Last Results with these Odds

Vipiteno - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Ritten-Renon - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broncos Sterzing-Vipiteno
Alps Hockey League
24.01.26	Vipiteno - Kitzbühel	3:2 OT ✺
22.01.26	Vipiteno - Merano Junior	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Vipiteno	4:0 ✺
06.01.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Vipiteno	3:2 OT ✺
04.01.26	Vipiteno - Acroni Jesenice	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW
- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
27.01.26	Asiago - Ritten-Renon	4:1 ✺
20.01.26	Ritten-Renon - Tigers Bregenzerwald	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Ritten-Renon - Merano Junior	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Ritten-Renon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
18.12.25	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	4:3 OT
25.09.25	Vipiteno - Ritten-Renon	2:1 OT
05.01.25	Vipiteno - Ritten-Renon	6:3
03.12.24	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	1:5
12.10.24	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	9:5
02.04.24	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	3:1
30.03.24	Vipiteno - Ritten-Renon	2:3 OT

Upcoming Matches