Match Info

Northern Ireland Open - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


	Guodong Xiao		Sam Craigie

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Guodong Xiao
64.8%

Sam Craigie
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guodong Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sam Craigie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Craigie than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 14., and Craigie is ranked World Ranking: 72..

Recent results have been tough for Xiao (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Craigie have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Xiao is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Xiao has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
29.09.26	Guodong Xiao - Michael Holt	4:5 ✺
18.09.26	Guodong Xiao - Dylan Emery	4:6 ✺
08.09.26	Guodong Xiao - Ross Muir	3:4 ✺
01.09.26	Haotian Lyu - Guodong Xiao	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Guodong Xiao - Jiang Jun	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Sam Craigie
Snooker
28.09.26	Kyren Wilson - Sam Craigie	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sam Craigie - Antoni Kowalski	3:4 ✺
18.09.26	Noppon Saengkham - Sam Craigie	3:6 ✺
15.09.26	Ishpreet Chadha - Sam Craigie	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Sam Craigie - Anton Kazakov	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Snooker
21.03.21	Sam Craigie - Guodong Xiao	2:0

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Guodong Xiao - Sam Craigie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide