Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 5

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Afghanistan		Myanmar

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.7	3.25	1.82	Watch
	4.51	3.29	1.83
	4.52	3.31	1.83	Watch
	4	3	1.85
	4.53	3.37	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.15)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	1.82 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afghanistan
21.1%

Draw
28.1%

Myanmar
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

28.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afghanistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afghanistan's form might have worsened.

Myanmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Myanmar's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Afghanistan - Myanmar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Afghanistan (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Afghanistan (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Afghanistan (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Myanmar will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Afghanistan (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mottaghian K. (G) 7. Ahadi M. Abu Muslim 4. Hanifi M. 11. Kouhyar Q. Notts County 2. Mahbobi N. 5. Mehri A. 10. Musawi O. Penang 13. Nazari A. B. 14. Panahi A. 19. Popalzay O. (C) Persiraja Aceh 6. Samandari S.	1. Naing San Sat (G) Yangon United 7. Aung Lwin Moe Mahasarakham 19. Hein Htet Aung Kelantan The Real Warriors 3. Hein Zeyar Lin Yangon United 20. Khant Myat Kaung Shan United 5. Kyaw N. (C) Shan United 8. Lin Aung W. 6. Oo K. Terengganu 9. Paing T. Trat FC 11. Thein Zaw Win Yangon United 2. Win Hein Phyo Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Substitutes
9. Arefi M. 12. Aref S. Penza 8. Mansor E. Millwall 1. Mohammadi J. (G) 17. Safi Y. 16. Sarwari S.	21. Aung Ye Yint Shan United 23. Aung Z. N. N. (G) Yangon United 13. Hein Khun Kyaw Zin Shan United 18. Htet Nay Lin (G) Hantharwady United 17. Khant Aung Myo Yangon United 4. Khant Myat Phone Thitsar Arman 22. Ko Sa Aung Pyae Shan United 15. Min Zwe Khant Shan United 14. Oo Min Maw Thitsar Arman 12. Soe Aung Wunna Shan United 16. Soe T. R. 10. Tun N. W. Thitsar Arman

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Popalzay O. ⚽,
44', Ahadi M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Paing T. ⚽, Lin Aung W. (A),
45+2', Lin Aung W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Samandari S. ↓, Sarwari S. ↑,
56', Hein Htet Aung ↓, Hein Khun Kyaw Zin ↑,
63', Kyaw N. ↓, Min Zwe Khant ↑,
63', Aung Lwin Moe ↓, Aung Ye Yint ↑,
66', Khant Myat Kaung 🟨,
70', Musawi O. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Hein Khun Kyaw Zin ⚽,
76', Ahadi M. ↓, Safi Y. ↑,
76', Musawi O. ↓, Arefi M. ↑,
84', Panahi A. ↓, Mansor E. ↑,
86', Paing T. ↓, Tun N. W. ↑,
87', Khant Myat Kaung ↓, Khant Aung Myo ↑,
90+5', Mahbobi N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Myanmar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afghanistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afghanistan
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Afghanistan - Pakistan	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Pakistan - Afghanistan	0:0 ✺
CAFA Nations Cup
04.09.25	Afghanistan - India	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Afghanistan - Tajikistan	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Iran - Afghanistan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTLL
- Myanmar
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Myanmar - Syria	0:3 ✺
09.10.25	Syria - Myanmar	5:1 ✺
10.06.25	Myanmar - Pakistan	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Myanmar - Afghanistan	2:1 ✺
ASEAN Championship
21.12.24	Vietnam - Myanmar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
25.03.25	Myanmar - Afghanistan	2:1

Afghanistan - Myanmar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide