What is the expert prediction for Ajax vs Roma?

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Ajax vs Roma Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, January 30, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 30 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: De Aza M. (Esp)


	Ajax		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.2	2
	2.95	3.75	2.05
	3	3.75	2	Watch
	3.05	3.7	1.98
	3.09	4.06	2.02
	2.9	3.7	1.95
	3.06	3.84	2.04
	3	3.95	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.72)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
30.5%

Draw
23.8%

Roma
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

25.1%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

24.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Roma will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Eijk R. (G) 18. Keijzer M. 8. Spitse S. (C) 25. De Sanders K. 11. Weerden A. 10. Noordam N. 21. van Gool R. 20. Yohannes L. 15. Grant C. 7. Leuchter R. 19. Hoekstra T.	12. Ceasar C. (G) 3. Di Guglielmo L. 32. Linari E. 2. Minami M. 13. Bartoli E. (C) 23. Feiersinger L. 8. Kumagai S. 10. Giugliano M. 11. Haavi E. 7. Viens E. 9. Giacinti V.
Substitutes
24. De Klonia D. 12. Hoekstra I. 17. Jansen B. 26. Kardinaal I. 23. Keukelaar L. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 16. Noordman D. 22. Sabajo Q. 29. Tolhoek D. 31. Van der Wal D. (G) 6. van de Velde J.	16. Ciccotti C. 18. Glionna B. 20. Greggi G. 1. Korpela T. (G) 33. Kramzar Z. 87. Ohrstrom S. (G) 56. Pellegrino C. G. 29. Testa E. 21. Tomaselli M. 6. Valdezate O.
Coaches
Bakker S.	Spugna A.

Preview

Ajax is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Roma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ajax have a series of home games.

Roma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
27.01.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
24.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Ajax	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
20.01.24	Ajax - Excelsior	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.12.23	Ajax - Bayern Munich	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
17.12.23	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWW
- AS Roma Women
Italian Serie A Women
27.01.24	Roma - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
24.01.24	Roma - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
20.01.24	Inter Milan - Roma	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
16.01.24	Napoli - Roma	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
13.01.24	Roma - Pomigliano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
23.11.23	Roma - Ajax	3:0

Ajax - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide