The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Najma 52.2%
Draw 26%
Damac 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
27.8%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
28.3%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Najma's performance.
Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Najma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Najma - Damac Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Al Khamali B. (G) 94. Al Rajeh M. 3. Queiros D. 70. Bin Shuwayii K. (C) 13. Al Khathlan K. 17. Al Badah A. 16. Sahlouli M. 5. Taira A. 7. Novais J. 9. Marcos Andre 10. Al Mutairi F.
47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 5. Rabei H. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 23. Al Hassan J. 6. Al Qarni I. 88. Al Khalaf O. 2. Sylla M. 10. Al Shahrani A. 99. Al Jizani F. 11. Meite Y.
Substitutes
79. Al Garzaie Y. 12. Al Kunaydiri M. 15. Al Najjar A. 77. Al Saeed S. 6. Al Shammari K. 72. Gabous S. (G) 21. Madani E. 20. Muslet J. 92. Souleymane C.
30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 14. Al Ghamdi N. 15. Al Harbi I. 72. Al Yousif A. 80. Naji Y. 78. Shuqayyiqi A. 7. Sunbul Y.
Coaches
Mendonca J.
Chebbi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bin Shuwayii K. 🟨,
45+1', Al Qarni I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
64', Sahlouli M. ↓, Souleymane C. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Souleymane C. ⚽, Al Badah A. (A),
75', Sylla M. ↓, Al Harbi I. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Al Khathlan K. ⚽, Novais J. (A),
84', Al Mutairi F. ↓, Al Najjar A. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Al Khathlan K. ⚽,
90', Marcos Andre ↓, Madani E. ↑,
90', Al Badah A. ↓, Al Saeed S. ↑,
90', Al Khathlan K. ↓, Al Kunaydiri M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Division 1 Promotion - Playoffs).
Al-Najma is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Damac have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Najma carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Al-Najma has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Najma against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Saudi-arabia
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Al Khamali B. (G) 
Queiros D. 
Marcos Andre 
Bedrane A. (C) 
Sylla M. 
Meite Y. 
Souleymane C. 
Chebbi A. 
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