Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético Tucumán 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.35	1.75
	4.44	3.55	1.77
	4.46	3.65	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.73
	4.54	3.38	1.71
	3.25	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.25)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	1.79 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán 2
22%

Draw
26.9%

Vélez Sársfield 2
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tucumán 2's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tucumán 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán 2 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vélez 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 1.

Atlético Tucumán 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vélez 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.03.26	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Aldosivi 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTW
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.03.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Banfield 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1
15.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
13.08.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1
13.03.24	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4
27.09.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0
18.02.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:2
03.07.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0

Upcoming Matches