Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Tucumán 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.25
	2.75	3.2	2.22	Watch
	2.92	3.25	2.3
	2.9	3.33	2.27	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.2
	2.87	3.3	2.22
	2.75	3.25	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.5)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán 2
31.9%

Draw
27.8%

River Plate 2
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

26.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.8%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Tucumán 2's performance.

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tucumán 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán 2 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). River Plate 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Meloni S. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Fernandez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Ortega M. ⚽,
57', 1 - 3, Meloni S. ⚽,
75', 1 - 4, Constantini G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, River Plate 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate 2 - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.52%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.08.26	Racing Club 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWL
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.08.26	River Plate 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - River Plate 2	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - River Plate 2	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	River Plate 2 - Barracas Central 2	4:0 ✺
10.07.26	River Plate 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
19.03.26	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0
11.09.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
09.04.25	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0
19.09.24	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	1:1
10.04.24	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:1
09.09.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	2:2
27.04.23	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1

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