Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 27

Date: 24 July 2023, Monday


	Barracas Central 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	3.38	3.28	1.97
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.58	3.4	1.95
	3.3	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.19)	3.29 ↓ (3.45)	1.95 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central 2
26.2%

Draw
27.5%

Lanús 2
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.2%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.7%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lanús 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanús 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanús 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barracas Central 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 27 and 7).

Barracas Central 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lanús 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barracas Central 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lanús 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barracas Central 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.07.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:2 ✺
14.07.23	Barracas Central 2 - Tigre 2	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Barracas Central 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3 ✺
26.06.23	River Plate 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLL
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.07.23	Lanús 2 - Instituto 2	2:1 ✺
13.07.23	Banfield 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
10.07.23	Lanús 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1 ✺
04.07.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Lanús 2 - Platense 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
08.09.22	Lanús 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:0
16.02.22	Lanús 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:2

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