Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Barracas Central 2		Rosario Central 2

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.35	1.72	Watch
	4.57	3.53	1.76
	4.5	3.57	1.71	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.7
	4.64	3.42	1.69
	4.6	3.35	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.6)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central 2
20.2%

Draw
26.6%

Rosario Central 2
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

26.5%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barracas Central 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central 2 won 0.

Barracas Central 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rosario Central 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barracas Central 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rosario Central 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central 2 - the odds 4.6 are the expected chance of winning is 19.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.03.26	Tigre 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Barracas Central 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Barracas Central 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Racing Club 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLWL
- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.03.26	Rosario Central 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Banfield 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Instituto 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Rosario Central 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
26.09.24	Barracas Central 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:4
17.04.24	Rosario Central 2 - Barracas Central 2	6:0
24.10.23	Rosario Central 2 - Barracas Central 2	3:1
08.06.23	Rosario Central 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:1
11.08.22	Barracas Central 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:3
11.03.22	Rosario Central 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:2

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